Scorchers 41%. Hurricanes 59%.
KFC BBL|16, match 7Sunday 20 December 2026, 4:15pm AWST (7:15pm AEDT)Perth Stadium, Perth
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 18 innings since Sept 2023.
10 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 54% (29 of 54). BBL and T20Is.
of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 636).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened or washed out (37 of 101).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 636).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Hobart Hurricanes are favoured, with a win chance of 59% and a team strength about 18 runs clear of Perth Scorchers. The edge comes from both batting and bowling: Hurricanes are 9.7 runs better with the bat and 8.2 runs better with the ball. Their projected first-innings score of 177 is six runs above the par score of 171, while Perth's is 166.
Perth's batting is built on Mitch Marsh, who has 501 runs in his last 10 T20 matches, and Ashton Turner, who has 277 runs at a strike rate of 179.9. But the Scorchers' bowling lacks the same depth, with Jhye Richardson rated only 0.4 runs better than average and Mahli Beardman and Lance Morris both rated below average. The sharpest angle is the chase: chasers have won 10 of the last 18 games here, and the Hurricanes have the batting to exploit that.
501 runs, SR 172, 31 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.0 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5 runs better than an average opener. He has 501 runs in his last 10 T20 matches, striking at 172.2, with 31 sixes. At this ground he has 574 runs from 26 innings.
277 runs, SR 180, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He has 277 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 179.9, with 11 sixes. At this ground he has 854 runs from 35 innings.
15 wkts, econ 8.49 in the last 10. Rated −0.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 0.9 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches were 20 months ago, when he took 15 wickets at an economy of 8.49. At this ground he has 14 wickets from 14 innings.
265 runs, SR 160, 21 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.8 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5.8 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He has 265 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 159.6, with 21 sixes. At this ground he has 169 runs from 9 innings.
13 wkts, econ 7.24 in the last 10. Rated +4.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 13 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 7.24. At this ground he has 7 wickets from 7 innings.
11 wkts, econ 7.38 in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 11 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 7.38. At this ground he has 5 wickets from 5 innings.
Perth, Australia · 48 BBL matches here
Perth Stadium opened in 2018 and took over from the WACA Ground as the city's main cricket venue, with the Scorchers moving across the river that year.
reached par (171). Median 158.
Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored about 1% below their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 –, 2018–2022 162, 2023 onward 157.
3 January 2018 at Perth Stadium: 27 °C, humidity 52%, wind 22 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 2 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 20 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Perth Stadium during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during the match. Only 4% of games in similar weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. The humidity rises from 45% to 62% during the evening, but chasing success has not varied with humidity at Australian BBL grounds. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring. Expect a full game with no interruptions.
During play: 26.7 °C on average, humidity 52%, wind 22 km/h gusting to 48. Humidity climbs from 45% to 62%; at Australian BBL grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
11 December 2016 at Perth Stadium: 24 °C, humidity 54%, wind 23 km/h and 1.2 mm of rain during the hours of play. 2 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 20 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Perth Stadium during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 1.2 mm of rain during the hours of play. The wettest spell is 18:00 to 19:00, overlapping the second innings. At Australian BBL grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Lost overs and a rain-rule finish are a real possibility. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring at Australian BBL grounds.
During play: 23.7 °C on average, humidity 54%, wind 23 km/h gusting to 56. Humidity climbs from 43% to 67%; at Australian BBL grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 18:00–19:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
24 December 2020 at Perth Stadium: 34 °C, humidity 17%, wind 14 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 2 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 20 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Perth Stadium during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during the match. Only 4% of games in similar weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at these grounds. Expect a full game with no interruptions.
During play: 34.3 °C on average, humidity 17%, wind 14 km/h gusting to 47.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Marsh501 runs, SR 172 | +5.0 | – |
| 2 | Sam Fanningunsigned133 runs, SR 142 | −1.4 | – |
| 3 | Aaron Hardie1 over93 runs, SR 133; 3 wkts, econ 9.02 | +2.1 | −0.1 |
| 4 | Cooper Connolly314 runs, SR 158 | +2.0 | – |
| 5 | Ashton Turner277 runs, SR 180 | +3.2 | – |
| 6 | Joel Curtiskeeper, unsigned1 match, 1 run off 2 balls | −1.7 | – |
| 7 | Ashton Agar4 overs38 runs, SR 106; 7 wkts, econ 8.50 | −0.2 | −0.1 |
| 8 | Calvin Harrison3 overs15 wkts, econ 6.55 | – | +2.5 |
| 9 | Jhye Richardson4 overs16 wkts, econ 9.24 | – | +0.4 |
| 10 | Mahli Beardman4 overs14 wkts, econ 7.97 | – | −0.4 |
| 11 | Lance Morris4 overs15 wkts, econ 8.49 (form 20 months old) | – | −0.9 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Owen206 runs, SR 178 | +5.7 | – |
| 2 | Beau Webster531 runs, SR 152 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | Ben McDermottkeeper226 runs, SR 139 | +2.1 | – |
| 4 | Nikhil Chaudhary138 runs, SR 115 | +2.3 | – |
| 5 | Tim David265 runs, SR 160 | +5.8 | – |
| 6 | Chris Jordanunsigned, 1 over82 runs, SR 121; 9 wkts, econ 7.90 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 7 | Nathan Ellis4 overs13 wkts, econ 7.24 | +0.2 | +4.4 |
| 8 | Adam Zampa4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.38 | – | +3.8 |
| 9 | Rishad Hossainunsigned, 4 overs10 wkts, econ 9.64 | – | +0.2 |
| 10 | Riley Meredith4 overs17 wkts, econ 8.77 | – | +1.9 |
| 11 | Billy Stanlake3 overs10 wkts, econ 8.30 | – | −1.2 |
