Track record
Picked the winner in 66.2% of 2,084 T20s
14 Dec 2024 – 9 Sept 2026Fitted on games before 14 Dec 2024
Winners picked
| Games | Played | Our model | Player ratings | Team form (Elo) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All men's T20 | 2,084 | 66.2% | 63.7% | 61.0% |
| Major leagues and Full Member T20Is | 1,155 | 58.4% | 58.0% | 57.1% |
| BBL | 84 | 61.9% | 58.3% | 56.0% |
Log loss
| Games | Played | Our model | Player ratings | Team form (Elo) | Coin flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All men's T20 | 2,084 | 0.589 | 0.623 | 0.654 | 0.693 |
| Major leagues and Full Member T20Is | 1,155 | 0.664 | 0.676 | 0.680 | 0.693 |
| BBL | 84 | 0.664 | 0.666 | 0.702 | 0.693 |
When we call a favourite, how often do they win?
| We made a side | Games | Average call | Favourite won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% favourite | 908 | 55% | 55% |
| 60–70% favourite | 549 | 64% | 64% |
| 70–80% favourite | 259 | 74% | 76% |
| 80–90% favourite | 189 | 85% | 85% |
| 90% or more favourite | 179 | 95% | 97% |
Our published calls
| Games | Played | Winners picked | Log loss | Coin flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Previews with a result | 2 | 1 of 2 | 0.783 | 0.693 |
| Date | Match | Our call | Result | Scores | Winner's chance | Log loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 2026 | Castle Rockers v Wolves ETPL, final | Castle Rockers 55% | Castle Rockers won by 7 wickets | 150-5 v 151-3 | 55% | 0.596 |
| 19 Sept 2026 | Flames v Wolves ETPL, qualifier | Flames 62% | Wolves won by 7 wickets | 133 v 136-3 | 38% | 0.971 |