Tim David
265 runs, SR 167, 21 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.6 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.6 runs better than an average batter. He has 265 runs at a strike rate of 166.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 21 sixes.
Our call and the result
Our callResultWinner
Flames 62%favourites
Wolves(called wrong)won by 7 wickets
Batting firstFlames 62%to win batting first
Flames(called wrong)Wolves won the toss and chose to field
First innings176projected for Flames batting first; par 169
133133 all out (20 overs), 36 under par
Flames 133 all out (20 overs). Wolves 136-3 (18.3 overs).
Flames
ParBatting+9.4Bowling+4.0Overall+13.4
Wolves
ParBatting+3.1Bowling−0.6Overall+2.4
Flames bat first
First innings176
Wolves short by33 runs
62%Flames win
38%Wolves win
Wolves bat first
First innings166
Flames chase in17.4 overs
63%Flames win
37%Wolves win
First innings
176Flames bat first
166Wolves bat first
169Par
162Recent average here
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 12 innings since Sept 2023.
Chasing here
64%
7 of 11 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 57% (17 of 30). European T20 Premier League, T20Is and other internationals.
Strengths and weaknesses
Tim DavidBatting standout, Flames: 265 runs, SR 167 (last 10)
David PayneBowling standout, Flames: 14 wkts, econ 7.85 (last 10)
WolvesBowling weakness: −0.6 runs a game. Netravalkar econ 8.11 in the last 10.
Amsterdam Flames favoured by about 11 runs at Malahide
Amsterdam Flames are favoured, with a win chance of 62 per cent and a team strength about 11 runs better than Belfast Wolves. The edge comes from both batting and bowling: Flames are 6.4 runs stronger with the bat and 4.6 with the ball. Their total of 13.4 runs above average is built on a batting group that is 9.4 runs better than average and a bowling unit 4 runs better.
Wolves sit at 2.4 runs above average, with their batting 3.1 runs better and their bowling 0.6 runs worse. The par score here is 169, and the projected first innings is 165, so this looks a touch under par. Chasing has been the sharper angle: chasers have won 7 of the last 11 here, and games here have produced a recent average of 162 from 12 innings.
The case for the Flames
- Team strength is 13.4 runs above average, with batting 9.4 runs better and bowling 4 runs better.
- Tim David is rated 4.6 runs better than an average batter, with 265 runs at a strike rate of 166.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- David Payne is rated 3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 14 wickets at an economy of 7.85 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standouts
YS Samra
295 runs, SR 164, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener. He has 295 runs at a strike rate of 163.9 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 16 sixes.
Bowling standouts
David Payne
14 wkts, econ 7.85 in the last 10. Rated +3.0 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 7.85 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Aryan Dutt
9 wkts, econ 6.32 in the last 10. Rated +2.3 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 9 wickets at an economy of 6.32 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for the Wolves
- Mark Chapman is rated 2.4 runs better than an average batter, with 283 runs at a strike rate of 162.6 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Glenn Maxwell is rated 2.1 runs better than an average batter, with 221 runs at a strike rate of 167.4 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Chris Jordan is rated 0.5 runs better than an average bowler over three overs, with 9 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting weakness
Harry Manenti
241 runs, SR 114, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.5 runs worse than an average opener. He has 241 runs at a strike rate of 113.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Saurabh Netravalkar
12 wkts, econ 8.11 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.11 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The Village, Malahide
Dublin, Ireland · 13 ETPL matches here
- First men's T20
- 2015
- Men's T20s
- 34
Every first innings here
14 of 32reached par (169). Median 160.
Under par Par or more
Recent ETPL first innings average 163; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 129, 2018–2022 201, 2023 onward 168.
100150169200250
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15014%2 of 14
150–16933%1 of 3
170–18971%5 of 7
190–20950%1 of 2
210+100%4 of 4
Weather on the day
Saturday 19 September, 14:15–17:50: 17.0 °C on average, humidity 69%, wind 28 km/h gusting to 59, 0.5 mm of rain.
Play 14:15–17:50
120.0mm
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.2mm
160.1mm
170.2mm
180.0mm
Amsterdam Flames XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Smith172 runs, SR 134 | +2.7 | – |
| 2 | YS Samra295 runs, SR 164 | +3.6 | – |
| 3 | Bas de Leede2 overs350 runs, SR 134; 5 wkts, econ 7.87 | −1.0 | −0.1 |
| 4 | Curtis Campher2 overs197 runs, SR 162; 4 wkts, econ 9.44 | +1.8 | −1.6 |
| 5 | Tim David265 runs, SR 167 | +4.6 | – |
| 6 | Scott Edwardskeeper186 runs, SR 130 | −0.5 | – |
| 7 | Michael Bracewell4 overs37 runs, SR 93; 18 wkts, econ 6.10 | +0.2 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Jordan Neill8 matches, 61 runs off 58 balls | – | – |
| 9 | Tim Pringle4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.05 | – | −0.4 |
| 10 | Aryan Dutt4 overs9 wkts, econ 6.32 | – | +2.3 |
| 11 | David Payne4 overs14 wkts, econ 7.85 | – | +3.0 |
Belfast Wolves XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Manenti1 over241 runs, SR 114; 3 wkts, econ 8.23 | −3.5 | −0.1 |
| 2 | Paul Stirling180 runs, SR 154 | −0.6 | – |
| 3 | Lorcan Tuckerkeeper192 runs, SR 122 | +1.1 | – |
| 4 | Mark Chapman283 runs, SR 163 | +2.4 | – |
| 5 | David Miller261 runs, SR 156 | +1.7 | – |
| 6 | Glenn Maxwell1 over221 runs, SR 167; 4 wkts, econ 7.57 | +2.1 | −0.1 |
| 7 | Chris Jordan3 overs46 runs, SR 112; 9 wkts, econ 9.35 | +0.2 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Mark Adair4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.79 | – | −0.1 |
| 9 | Fred Klaassen3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.09 | – | +0.4 |
| 10 | Matthew Humphreys4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.66 | – | −0.2 |
| 11 | Saurabh Netravalkar4 overs12 wkts, econ 8.11 | – | −1.1 |