Oddsworth

Warriors v North West: Warriors 61% to win

Warriors 61%. North West 39%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 2Friday 25 September 2026, 2:00pm SASTSuperSport Park, CenturionNeutral ground: the Warriors are the designated home side

Warriors

ParBatting−7.5Bowling−6.8Overall−14.4

North West

ParBatting−10.0Bowling−10.7Overall−20.6

Warriors bat first

First innings181
North West short by34 runs
61%Warriors win
39%North West win

North West bat first

First innings177
Warriors chase in18.3 overs
61%Warriors win
39%North West win

First innings

181Warriors bat first
177North West bat first
180Par
185Recent average here

Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 21 innings since Sept 2023.

Chasing here

38%

8 of 21 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 57% (44 of 77). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, T20Is, IPL and Mzansi Super League.

Rain risk

5%

of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).

Strengths and weaknesses

Dian ForresterBatting standout, North West: 185 runs, SR 137 (last 10)
Senuran MuthusamyBowling standout, Warriors: 11 wkts, econ 7.31 (last 10)
North WestBowling weakness: −10.7 runs a game. Dupavillon econ 10.12 in the last 10.

Warriors favoured by about 6 runs; bowling gives them the edge

Warriors are favoured, with a win chance of 61% and a paper strength about 6 runs above North West. The edge comes mostly from bowling: Warriors are 3.8 runs better with the ball and 2.4 runs better with the bat. Both sides rate below average overall, but North West's bowling is the weaker unit at 10.7 runs worse than average.

Warriors are projected to make 181 batting first, North West 177, against a par score of 180. The recent league first-innings average is 160 from 60 innings, while the recent average here is 185 from 21 innings since 2023. Teams batting first have won 13 of the last 21 here, and the sharpest angle is that 170–189 totals have been defended 59% of the time (10 of 17).

The case for the Warriors

  • Rated 3.8 runs better than North West with the ball, led by Senuran Muthusamy at 1.5 runs better than an average bowler.
  • Rated 2.4 runs better with the bat, with Jordan Hermann and Matthew Breetzke both positive.

Batting standout

Jordan Hermann

234 runs, SR 139, 9 sixes in the last 10. Rated +0.4 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 0.4 runs better than an average opener. He has 234 runs at a strike rate of 139.3 with 9 sixes in his last 10 T20 matches, and 137 runs from 113 balls at this ground.

Bowling standout

Senuran Muthusamy

11 wkts, econ 7.31 in the last 10. Rated +1.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.5 runs better than an average bowler. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 7.31 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career economy is 7.07.

The case for the North West

  • Dian Forrester is in form: 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 and 9 wickets at an economy of 7.64 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Wihan Lubbe and Rubin Hermann have recent T20 runs, and the side has a projected first-innings score of 177.

Batting standout

Dian Forrester

185 runs, SR 137, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.0 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 1 run better than an average batter. He has 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 and 10 sixes in his last 10 T20 matches, plus 9 wickets at an economy of 7.64.

Bowling weaknesses

Daryn Dupavillon

11 wkts, econ 10.12 in the last 10. Rated −2.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.5 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 11 wickets but an economy of 10.12 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career economy is 8.92.

Mthiwekhaya Nabe

8 wkts, econ 10.42 in the last 10. Rated −2.6 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.6 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 8 wickets at an economy of 10.42 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career economy is 8.88.

SuperSport Park

Centurion, South Africa · 32 CSA T20 matches here

First men's T20
2009
Men's T20s
91

The ground's full record

Every first innings here

31 of 80

reached par (180). Median 170.

Under par Par or more

Recent CSA T20 first innings average 160; games here have scored about 10% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 155, 2018–2022 172, 2023 onward 205.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 1507%2 of 27
150–16950%6 of 12
170–18959%10 of 17
190–20960%3 of 5
210+75%12 of 16

Weather: forecast

SuperSport Park, Friday 25 September: no rain expected during the hours of play, the chance never above 8%.

The forecast for SuperSport Park on Friday 25 September is dry, with no rain expected during the hours of play and the chance never above 8%. At South African grounds, 5% of games in similar dry weather were shortened or washed out (27 of 496). Rain should not be a factor, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring.

During play: 26.4 °C on average, humidity 33%, wind 7 km/h gusting to 25.

Warriors XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139+0.4–
2JP King1 over68 runs, SR 119; 1 wkts, econ 11.67 (form 19 months old)−2.2−0.7
3Matthew de Villiers151 runs, SR 116−2.1–
4Matthew Breetzkeunsigned194 runs, SR 128+0.9–
5Jean du Plessis131 runs, SR 127 (form 23 months old)−0.8–
6Patrick Kruger4 overs92 runs, SR 115; 11 wkts, econ 10.03 (form 20 months old)−0.4−3.0
7Andile Mokgakane37 runs, SR 106 (form 23 months old)−1.3–
8Senuran Muthusamyunsigned, 4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31–+1.5
9Beuran Hendricks4 overs8 wkts, econ 8.39 (form 23 months old)–−1.5
10Tladi Bokako3 overs7 wkts, econ 7.97 (form 46 months old)–−2.2
11CJ King4 overs7 wkts, econ 6.42 (form 19 months old)–−1.0

Team record and squad

North West XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Meeka-eel Princekeeper158 runs, SR 133 (form 23 months old)−2.8–
2Wihan Lubbe2 overs140 runs, SR 112; 2 wkts, econ 10.78+0.3−1.5
3Raynard van Tonder1 over220 runs, SR 112; 0 wkts, econ 8.00 (form 23 months old)−2.3−0.6
4Rubin Hermann178 runs, SR 138−0.5–
5Lesiba Ngoepe1 over205 runs, SR 128; 3 wkts, econ 9.75 (form 23 months old)−1.5−0.7
6Dian Forrester3 overs185 runs, SR 137; 9 wkts, econ 7.64+1.0−0.2
7Ruan de Swardt2 overs68 runs, SR 90; 4 wkts, econ 10.00−1.9−1.5
8Caleb Seleka4 overs9 wkts, econ 6.39 (form 23 months old)–−1.0
9Juan James1 match, 3 runs off 3 balls (form 23 months old)––
10Daryn Dupavillon4 overs11 wkts, econ 10.12 (form 20 months old)–−2.5
11Mthiwekhaya Nabe3 overs8 wkts, econ 10.42 (form 23 months old)–−2.6

Team record and squad

Share