Dolphins 51%. Warriors 49%.
Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 44Tuesday 20 October 2026, 1:00pm SASTKingsmead, Durban
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.
5 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 43% (39 of 91). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, IPL, T20Is and Mzansi Super League.
of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at South African grounds were shortened or washed out (42 of 112).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
This is too close to call. The Dolphins have a 51% win chance and the Warriors 49%, and the Warriors are the stronger side on paper by about 3 runs. That edge comes entirely from batting, where they are 3 runs ahead, while the Dolphins are 0.5 runs better with the ball. Both sides sit below average overall: the Dolphins at 16.9 runs worse than an average XI and the Warriors at 14.4 runs worse.
The runs picture points to a par score of 166, which is the total defended about half the time here. The Warriors project 166 batting first and the Dolphins 163. Teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18 games here, and the recent first-innings average at the ground is 172 from 20 innings. The sharpest angle is the Dolphins' batting: rated 10.6 runs worse than average, with Bryce Parsons and Andile Simelane both short of form.
12 wkts, econ 8.08 in the last 10. Rated +0.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 0.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.08 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 757 runs from 112.4 overs at this ground.
6 wkts, econ 10.61 in the last 10. Rated −2.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.61 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 192 runs from 19 overs at this ground.
194 runs, SR 128, 9 sixes in the last 10. Rated +0.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 0.9 runs better than an average batter. He has 194 runs at a strike rate of 127.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 9 sixes, and 388 runs at this ground from 13 innings.
11 wkts, econ 7.31 in the last 10. Rated +1.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 7.31 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 145 runs conceded from 23 overs at this ground.
11 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated −3.0 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 68 runs from 6.2 overs at this ground.
Durban, South Africa · 49 CSA T20 matches here
reached par (166). Median 159.
Recent CSA T20 first innings average 160; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 158, 2018–2022 151, 2023 onward 170.
15 October 2021 at Kingsmead: 23 °C, humidity 64%, wind 20 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 55 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 20 October in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during the match hours. Only 5% of games in similar weather at South African grounds were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. The match starts at 1:00pm SAST and the rain risk is low across both innings. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at South African grounds.
During play: 23.3 °C on average, humidity 64%, wind 20 km/h gusting to 47. Humidity climbs from 60% to 70%; at South African grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
10 November 2024 at Kingsmead: 21 °C, humidity 79%, wind 12 km/h and 2.5 mm of rain during the hours of play. 55 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 20 October in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are wet, like 10 November 2024 at Kingsmead: 21°C, humidity 79%, wind 12 km/h and 2.5 mm of rain during play. At South African grounds, 38% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. The wettest spell is 15:00 to 16:00, overlapping the second innings. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring.
During play: 21.2 °C on average, humidity 79%, wind 12 km/h gusting to 25. Humidity climbs from 73% to 86%; at South African grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 15:00–16:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
2 November 2017 at Kingsmead: 27 °C, humidity 58%, wind 12 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 55 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 20 October in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during play. Only 5% of games in similar weather at South African grounds were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at South African grounds. The first innings should pass without interruption.
During play: 27.1 °C on average, humidity 58%, wind 12 km/h gusting to 37.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant Roelofsenkeeper313 runs, SR 133 (form 23 months old) | −1.1 | – |
| 2 | Josh Richards95 runs, SR 95 (form 23 months old) | −3.8 | – |
| 3 | Bryce Parsons1 over236 runs, SR 124; 7 wkts, econ 9.62 | −1.6 | −0.3 |
| 4 | Marques Ackerman234 runs, SR 142 | +0.7 | – |
| 5 | Jason Smith3 overs102 runs, SR 126 | −0.2 | −0.9 |
| 6 | Khaya Zondo213 runs, SR 116 (form 23 months old) | −0.9 | – |
| 7 | Hanu Viljoen2 matches, 15 runs off 10 balls (form 23 months old) | −0.8 | – |
| 8 | Andile Simelane4 overs6 wkts, econ 10.61 | – | −2.8 |
| 9 | Prenelan Subrayen4 overs12 wkts, econ 8.08 | – | +0.9 |
| 10 | Keith Dudgeon4 overs9 wkts, econ 8.30 | – | −1.5 |
| 11 | Okuhle Cele4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.59 (form 23 months old) | – | −1.9 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139 | +0.4 | – |
| 2 | JP King1 over68 runs, SR 119; 1 wkts, econ 11.67 (form 19 months old) | −2.2 | −0.7 |
| 3 | Matthew de Villiers151 runs, SR 116 | −2.1 | – |
| 4 | Matthew Breetzkeunsigned194 runs, SR 128 | +0.9 | – |
| 5 | Jean du Plessis131 runs, SR 127 (form 23 months old) | −0.8 | – |
| 6 | Patrick Kruger4 overs92 runs, SR 115; 11 wkts, econ 10.03 (form 20 months old) | −0.4 | −3.0 |
| 7 | Andile Mokgakane37 runs, SR 106 (form 23 months old) | −1.3 | – |
| 8 | Senuran Muthusamyunsigned, 4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31 | – | +1.5 |
| 9 | Beuran Hendricks4 overs8 wkts, econ 8.39 (form 23 months old) | – | −1.5 |
| 10 | Tladi Bokako3 overs7 wkts, econ 7.97 (form 46 months old) | – | −2.2 |
| 11 | CJ King4 overs7 wkts, econ 6.42 (form 19 months old) | – | −1.0 |