Oddsworth

South Africa v Australia, 2nd ODI: South Africa 76%

South Africa 76%. Australia 24%.

South Africa v Australia ODI series 2026, 2nd ODISunday 27 September 2026, 10:00am SASTThe Wanderers, Johannesburg

The sides

MeasureSouth AfricaAustralia
Rating17443rd of 1917094th of 19
XI caps562ODIs between the XI635ODIs between the XI
Top-seven average45.0ODI batting35.0ODI batting
Last 105–5ODIs since Sept 20255–5ODIs since Oct 2025

South Africa, last 10

WWWLWLLWLL

  • 13 Sept 2026 South Africa won by 9 wickets v Namibia
  • 11 Sept 2026 South Africa won by 157 runs v Namibia
  • 9 Sept 2026 South Africa won by 99 runs (DLS) v Namibia
  • 6 Dec 2025 India won by 9 wickets v India
  • 3 Dec 2025 South Africa won by 4 wickets v India

Australia, last 10

WWLLLWLLWW

  • 15 Sept 2026 Australia won by 59 runs v Zimbabwe
  • 14 Jun 2026 Australia won by 1 wicket v Bangladesh
  • 11 Jun 2026 Bangladesh won by 5 wickets (DLS) v Bangladesh
  • 9 Jun 2026 Bangladesh won by 86 runs (DLS) v Bangladesh
  • 4 Jun 2026 Pakistan won by 4 wickets v Pakistan

First innings

286South Africa bat first
252Australia bat first
277Par
248Average here since 2019, 8 innings
439Highest here, South Africa 2015

Batting first here

50%

15 of 30 won batting first. Since 2019, 38% (3 of 8).

Rain risk

22%Highest chance in any hour
0.0mm forecast in play
25°Average temperature
24km/h, strongest wind

Head to head

34South Africa wins since 2006
23Australia wins since 2006
  • 24 Sept 2026 South Africa won by 67 runs at Kingsmead
  • 24 Aug 2025 Australia won by 276 runs at Great Barrier Reef Arena
  • 22 Aug 2025 South Africa won by 84 runs at Great Barrier Reef Arena
  • 19 Aug 2025 South Africa won by 98 runs at Cazaly's Stadium

Australia were 90 for none and lost by 67. Can they put it right at the Wanderers?

Australia were 90 without loss after 9.2 overs at Kingsmead, Mitchell Marsh 60 off 36 balls, chasing 297. From 129 for 1 they lost their last nine wickets for 101, and the left-arm spin of Keshav Maharaj (4 for 20) and Bjorn Fortuin (2 for 34) took six of them. South Africa had been 168 for 5 before Matthew Breetzke (112 off 106) and Marco Jansen (75 off 59) added 107. They lead 1–0, and we make them 76% to win at the Wanderers and take the series with a game to spare.

The Wanderers has been South Africa's ground in this fixture. They have won three of their four ODIs against Australia here: the 438 chase in 2006, then the last two by 142 runs in 2016 and 122 in 2023. Par is 277, but first innings here since 2019 have averaged 248, and South Africa were bowled out for 116 by India on it in 2023. The forecast is dry and warm, in the mid-twenties.

The Wanderers

Johannesburg

ODIs here
36, since 2003
South Africa here
Won 16, lost 9
Lowest completed
116, South Africa 2023
Median first innings
269 all-time

Last 5 here

  • Dec 2024 Pakistan 308/9 (47) v South Africa 271 (42). Pakistan won by 36 runs (DLS)
  • Dec 2023 South Africa 116 (27.3) v India 117/2 (16.4). India won by 8 wickets
  • Sept 2023 South Africa 315/9 (50) v Australia 193 (34.1). South Africa won by 122 runs
  • Apr 2023 South Africa 370/8 (50) v Netherlands 224 (39.1). South Africa won by 146 runs
  • Mar 2022 Bangladesh 194/9 (50) v South Africa 195/3 (37.2). South Africa won by 7 wickets

The case for South Africa

  • David Miller has 379 ODI runs at the Wanderers at an average of 47.4 and a strike rate of 125.9, against his career 104.0. He averages 57.4 against Australia.
  • Marco Jansen has eight wickets in his three ODIs here at 17.0 each, half his career average of 33.5.
  • Maharaj conceded 2.14 an over at Kingsmead, against his career economy rate of 4.78, and went into the series with 18 wickets against Australia at an average of 25.8, against his career 31.4.

The case for Australia

  • Marsh went into the series with 452 runs in his last ten ODIs at an average of 50.2, against his career 37.8, and his 60 at Kingsmead came with six sixes.
  • Cameron Green averages 58.0 against South Africa at a strike rate of 119.2, against his career 41.1 and 83.4.

Weather, hour by hour

Play0921°1023°1124°1226°1326°1427°1527°1627°1726°1825°

10% chance of rain

South Africa predicted XI

OrderPlayerODIsAvgSRWktsEcon
1Quinton de Kock †Last 10: 499 runs15946.597––
2Tony de ZorziLast 10: 374 runs2045.799––
3Temba Bavuma (c)Last 10: 346 runs5143.189––
4Matthew BreetzkeLast 10: 332 runs1459.297––
5Ryan RickeltonLast 10: 163 runs1623.483––
6David MillerLast 10: 316 runs17542.7104––
7Marco JansenLast 10: 145 runs, 14 wkts3126.3113486.36
8Corbin BoschLast 10: 237 runs, 11 wkts1451.5114136.71
9Gerald CoetzeeLast 10: 54 runs, 20 wkts138.163276.69
10Bjorn FortuinLast 10: 59 runs, 13 wkts157.664195.15
11Keshav MaharajLast 10: 86 runs, 17 wkts5414.180704.78

Australia predicted XI

OrderPlayerODIsAvgSRWktsEcon
1Travis HeadLast 10: 307 runs, 4 wkts7842.8105285.76
2Mitchell Marsh (c)Last 10: 452 runs, 1 wkts9837.895575.50
3Cooper ConnollyLast 10: 322 runs, 7 wkts1341.59075.33
4Josh Inglis †Last 10: 299 runs3830.4100––
5Matt RenshawLast 10: 326 runs, 7 wkts1036.29775.05
6Cameron GreenLast 10: 362 runs, 3 wkts3741.183215.77
7Jack EdwardsNo ODIs yet0––––
8Mitchell StarcLast 10: 12 runs, 14 wkts12611.8772395.26
9Nathan EllisLast 10: 52 runs, 18 wkts2211.681325.16
10Adam ZampaLast 10: 28 runs, 11 wkts11910.0651935.50
11Josh HazlewoodLast 10: 10 runs, 7 wkts9415.0811384.75

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