Oddsworth

Boland v Titans: Titans 78% to win

Boland 22%. Titans 78%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 53Sunday 25 October 2026, 1:00pm SASTBoland Park, Paarl

Boland

ParBatting−18.9Bowling−7.7Overall−26.6

Titans

ParBatting−1.5Bowling−9.8Overall−11.3

Boland bat first

First innings151
Titans chase in17.1 overs
78%Titans win
22%Boland win

Titans bat first

First innings166
Boland short by43 runs
78%Titans win
22%Boland win

First innings

151Boland bat first
166Titans bat first
162Par
164Recent average here

Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 18 innings since Sept 2023.

Chasing here

44%

8 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 51% (25 of 49). SA20, CSA T20 Challenge, Mzansi Super League and T20Is.

Rain risk

5%

of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).

The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.

Strengths and weaknesses

Donovan FerreiraBatting standout, Titans: 220 runs, SR 156 (last 10)
Donovan FerreiraBowling standout, Titans: 4 wkts, econ 6.63 (last 10)
BolandBatting weakness: −18.9 runs a game. Kaplan SR 116 in the last 10.

Titans favoured by about 15 runs on batting strength

Titans are favoured, with a win chance of 78% and a paper edge of about 15 runs. All of that edge comes from batting, where they are 17.3 runs better than Boland; Boland are 2 runs better with the ball, which does not cover the gap. Titans project 166 batting first, Boland 151.

Par is 162, the total defended about half the time. Teams batting first have won 10 of the last 18 here, and the recent first-innings average here is 164 from 18 games. The sharpest angle is Titans' batting against a Boland attack rated below average, with Lhuan-dre Pretorius and Donovan Ferreira both in strong recent form.

The case for the Boland

  • Bowling is 2 runs better than Titans', with Imraan Manack and Siyabonga Mahima both rated close to average.
  • Teams batting first have won 10 of the last 18 here, and Boland's projected 151 is close to the par score of 162.

Batting weakness

Gavin Kaplan

195 runs, SR 116, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.2 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.2 runs worse than an average opener. He has 195 runs at a strike rate of 116.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Boland's batting is 18.9 runs worse than average.

Bowling weakness

Lizaad Williams

17 wkts, econ 9.47 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 9.47 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Boland's bowling is 7.7 runs worse than average.

The case for the Titans

  • Batting is 17.3 runs better than Boland's, led by Lhuan-dre Pretorius and Donovan Ferreira, both rated above average and in strong recent form.
  • Projected to score 166 batting first, 15 runs more than Boland's 151, with a win chance of 78%.

Batting standouts

Lhuan-dre Pretorius

378 runs, SR 176, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener. He has 378 runs at a strike rate of 175.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 20 sixes, and 444 runs at this ground from 11 innings.

Donovan Ferreira

220 runs, SR 156, 18 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.7 runs better than an average batter and 0.5 runs better with the ball. He has 220 runs at a strike rate of 156 and 4 wickets at an economy of 6.63 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Bowling weakness

Beyers Swanepoel

11 wkts, econ 10.32 in the last 10. Rated −3.6 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 3.6 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 10.32 in his last 10 T20 matches, though Titans' bowling is only 9.8 runs worse than average.

Boland Park

Paarl, South Africa · 16 CSA T20 matches here

First men's T20
2012
Men's T20s
49

The ground's full record

Every first innings here

18 of 49

reached par (162). Median 158.

Under par Par or more

Recent CSA T20 first innings average 160; games here have scored about 1% below their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 151, 2018–2022 161, 2023 onward 160.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15030%6 of 20
150–16955%6 of 11
170–18958%7 of 12
190–20980%4 of 5
210+100%1 of 1

Weather: hot, like 14 Nov 2022

14 November 2022 at Boland Park: 31 °C, humidity 23%, wind 17 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 16 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 25 October in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Boland Park during these hours.

These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during play. At South African grounds, 5% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring. The first innings runs from 1:00pm, with no rain overlap expected.

During play: 31.0 °C on average, humidity 23%, wind 17 km/h gusting to 40. Humidity climbs from 22% to 32%; at South African grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

Boland XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Gavin Kaplan195 runs, SR 116 (form 23 months old)−3.2–
2Neil Brand92 runs, SR 103 (form 23 months old)−3.9–
3Lehan Botha101 runs, SR 138 (form 23 months old)−2.8–
4Ferisco Adams4 overs54 runs, SR 146; 10 wkts, econ 8.80 (form 23 months old)−1.7−1.8
5Ruan Terblanche6 matches, 0 runs off 3 balls (form 151 months old)−2.6–
6Glenton Stuurman4 overs15 wkts, econ 8.07 (form 23 months old)−2.0−2.0
7Imraan Manack4 overs55 runs, SR 138; 7 wkts, econ 7.34 (form 23 months old)−0.9−1.1
8Lizaad Williams4 overs17 wkts, econ 9.47–−1.1
9Siyabonga Mahima4 overs6 wkts, econ 6.61 (form 23 months old)–−1.7
10Akhona Mnyaka10 matches, 13 runs off 14 balls (form 23 months old)––
11Achille Cloete5 matches, 0 runs off 0 balls (form 23 months old)––

Team record and squad

Titans XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Rivaldo Moonsamy280 runs, SR 137−1.7–
2Lhuan-dre Pretorius378 runs, SR 176+3.1–
3Dayyaan Galiem4 overs33 runs, SR 92; 8 wkts, econ 10.39 (form 19 months old)−1.1−1.4
4Tshepang Dithole91 runs, SR 98 (form 23 months old)−2.4–
5Sinethemba Qeshilekeeper98 runs, SR 120 (form 23 months old)−1.8–
6Donovan Ferreira2 overs220 runs, SR 156; 4 wkts, econ 6.63+3.7+0.5
7Evan Jones1 over131 runs, SR 151; 0 wkts, econ 13.00+0.9−0.6
8Beyers Swanepoel4 overs11 wkts, econ 10.32–−3.6
9Andile Phehlukwayo2 overs4 wkts, econ 9.20 (form 19 months old)–−0.9
10Eathan Bosch4 overs8 wkts, econ 9.35–−1.8
11Junior Dala3 overs7 wkts, econ 9.74 (form 19 months old)–−1.9

Team record and squad

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