Sunrisers 66%. Capitals 34%.
SA20|5, match 1Sunday 17 January 2027, 3:30pm SASTSt George's Park, Gqeberha
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.
8 of 19 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 49% (44 of 89). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, Mzansi Super League, IPL and T20Is.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Sunrisers Eastern Cape are favoured, with a win chance of 66% and a paper strength about 5 runs clear. Almost all of that edge comes from batting: their batters are rated 9.4 runs better than average against Pretoria Capitals' 5, while the bowling units are close at 6.5 and 6.2. The projected first-innings totals are 166 for Sunrisers and 161 for Capitals, against a par score of 164.
The ground has hosted 95 men's T20 games, with a recent first-innings average of 157 from 20 innings since September 2023. Teams batting first have won 11 of the last 19 here, and the 150–169 band has been defended 68% of the time (23 of 34). The sharpest angle is that Sunrisers' batting depth, led by Quinton de Kock and Dewald Brevis on opposite sides, should decide a match where the par score sits right in that well-defended range.
319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 22 sixes, and 607 runs from 22 innings at this ground.
17 wkts, econ 7.62 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 202 career wickets at 7.86.
315 runs, SR 150, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter, the biggest batting edge in the match. He has 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes, and 299 runs from 12 innings here.
13 wkts, econ 7.66 in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.66 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 214 career wickets at 8.4.
236 runs, SR 124, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.5 runs worse than an average batter. He has 236 runs at a strike rate of 124.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 83 runs from eight innings at this ground.
17 wkts, econ 9.47 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 9.47 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 262 runs conceded from 37 overs at this ground.
Gqeberha, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here
reached par (164). Median 155.
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 3% below their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 152, 2018–2022 157, 2023 onward 159.
29 December 2023 at St George's Park: 23 °C, humidity 77%, wind 24 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at St George's Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during play. Across 447 games at SA20 grounds in similar weather, only 4% were shortened or washed out. Rain should not be a factor at any stage, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. Expect a full match with scoring in line with the ground's recent average of 157.
During play: 22.9 °C on average, humidity 77%, wind 24 km/h gusting to 51. Humidity climbs from 71% to 83%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
25 January 2019 at St George's Park: 21 °C, humidity 75%, wind 20 km/h and 1.7 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at St George's Park during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 1.7 mm of rain during the hours of play. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Rain is spread across the afternoon and evening, overlapping both innings. Runs lines assume 20 overs. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 20.7 °C on average, humidity 75%, wind 20 km/h gusting to 45. Humidity climbs from 65% to 87%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
27 January 2023 at St George's Park: 25 °C, humidity 77%, wind 16 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at St George's Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry: 0 mm of rain is expected during the hours of play, and only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (19 of 447). Rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The match starts at 3:30pm SAST.
During play: 24.6 °C on average, humidity 77%, wind 16 km/h gusting to 38. Humidity climbs from 71% to 85%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinton de Kockkeeper319 runs, SR 163 | +2.7 | – |
| 2 | Jonny Bairstow250 runs, SR 139 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | Matthew Breetzke194 runs, SR 128 | +0.8 | – |
| 4 | Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139 | +0.4 | – |
| 5 | Tristan Stubbs219 runs, SR 127 | +1.9 | – |
| 6 | James Coles3 overs220 runs, SR 147; 7 wkts, econ 8.58 | +1.4 | −0.9 |
| 7 | Marco Jansen4 overs58 runs, SR 106; 9 wkts, econ 11.25 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Lewis Gregory3 overs5 wkts, econ 9.96 | – | −0.3 |
| 9 | Senuran Muthusamy3 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31 | – | +1.1 |
| 10 | Adam Milne3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.95 | – | +2.0 |
| 11 | Anrich Nortje4 overs17 wkts, econ 7.62 | – | +3.2 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Hopekeeper240 runs, SR 113 | +2.0 | – |
| 2 | Connor Esterhuizen305 runs, SR 167 | −0.5 | – |
| 3 | Bryce Parsons236 runs, SR 124 | −1.5 | – |
| 4 | Wihan Lubbe140 runs, SR 112 | +0.3 | – |
| 5 | Dewald Brevis315 runs, SR 150 | +4.9 | – |
| 6 | Sherfane Rutherford258 runs, SR 135 | +2.0 | – |
| 7 | Roston Chase4 overs120 runs, SR 117; 15 wkts, econ 6.69 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Keshav Maharaj4 overs10 wkts, econ 8.94 | – | +1.0 |
| 9 | Lizaad Williams4 overs17 wkts, econ 9.47 | – | −1.1 |
| 10 | Lungi Ngidi4 overs13 wkts, econ 7.66 | – | +3.8 |
| 11 | Gideon Peters4 overs13 wkts, econ 8.56 | – | −0.3 |