Anrich Nortje
17 wkts, econ 7.62 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Sunrisers
ParBatting+9.4Bowling+6.5Overall+16.0
Capitals
ParBatting+5.0Bowling+6.2Overall+11.3
Sunrisers bat first
First innings166
Capitals short by33 runs
66%Sunrisers win
34%Capitals win
Capitals bat first
First innings161
Sunrisers chase in17.3 overs
65%Sunrisers win
35%Capitals win
First innings
166Sunrisers bat first
161Capitals bat first
164Par
157Recent average here
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.
Chasing here
42%
8 of 19 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 49% (44 of 89). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, Mzansi Super League, IPL and T20Is.
Rain risk
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
37%of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Strengths and weaknesses
Dewald BrevisBatting standout, Capitals: 315 runs, SR 150 (last 10)
Lungi NgidiBowling standout, Capitals: 13 wkts, econ 7.66 (last 10)
CapitalsBatting weakness: +5.0 runs a game. Parsons SR 124, Maharaj SR 93 in the last 10.
Sunrisers Eastern Cape favoured by about 5 runs on paper
Sunrisers Eastern Cape are favoured, with a 66% win chance. The edge is almost all with the bat: they are rated 4.4 runs better than Pretoria Capitals with the bat and 0.3 runs better with the ball, a team-strength gap of about 5 runs. Their projected first-innings score is 166, against 161 for Pretoria Capitals, with a par score of 164.
Games here average 157 in the 20 innings since September 2023, below the recent league first-innings average of 165. Teams batting first have won 11 of the last 19 here, and 68% of first-innings totals between 150 and 169 were defended. The sharpest angle is Pretoria Capitals' batting: rated 5 runs better than average, against 9.4 for Sunrisers Eastern Cape.
The case for the Sunrisers
- Rated 4.4 runs better than Pretoria Capitals with the bat, with Quinton de Kock and Jonny Bairstow both positive at the top.
- Rated 0.3 runs better with the ball, and their projected first-innings score of 166 is the higher of the two.
Bowling standout
The case for the Capitals
- Dewald Brevis is rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter, the best batting rating in the match.
- Lungi Ngidi and Roston Chase are rated 3.8 and 2.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
Dewald Brevis
315 runs, SR 150, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter. He has 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes.
Bowling standouts
Lungi Ngidi
13 wkts, econ 7.66 in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.66 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Roston Chase
15 wkts, econ 6.69 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 15 wickets at an economy of 6.69 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting weakness
Bryce Parsons
236 runs, SR 124, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.5 runs worse than an average batter. He has 236 runs at a strike rate of 124 in his last 10 T20 matches, the last of which was in January.
Bowling weakness
Lizaad Williams
17 wkts, econ 9.47 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 9.47 in his last 10 T20 matches.
St George's Park
Gqeberha, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here
- First men's T20
- 2007
- Men's T20s
- 95
Every first innings here
19 of 92reached par (164). Median 155.
Under par Par or more
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 3% below their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 152, 2018–2022 157, 2023 onward 159.
100150164200
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15021%8 of 38
150–16968%23 of 34
170–18975%9 of 12
190–209100%2 of 2
210+100%3 of 3
Weather: dry, like 29 Dec 2023
29 December 2023 at St George's Park: 23 °C, humidity 77%, wind 24 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at St George's Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during play. Across 447 games at SA20 grounds in similar weather, only 4% were shortened or washed out. Rain should not be a factor at any stage, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. Expect a full match with scoring in line with the ground's recent average of 157.
During play: 22.9 °C on average, humidity 77%, wind 24 km/h gusting to 51. Humidity climbs from 71% to 83%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Play 15:30–19:05
110.0mm
120.0mm
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
210.0mm
Weather: wet, like 25 Jan 2019
25 January 2019 at St George's Park: 21 °C, humidity 75%, wind 20 km/h and 1.7 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at St George's Park during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 1.7 mm of rain during the hours of play. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Rain is spread across the afternoon and evening, overlapping both innings. Runs lines assume 20 overs. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 20.7 °C on average, humidity 75%, wind 20 km/h gusting to 45. Humidity climbs from 65% to 87%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
Play 15:30–19:05
110.0mm
120.1mm
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.2mm
160.4mm
170.4mm
180.3mm
190.4mm
200.2mm
210.7mm
Weather: hot, like 27 Jan 2023
27 January 2023 at St George's Park: 25 °C, humidity 77%, wind 16 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at St George's Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry: 0 mm of rain is expected during the hours of play, and only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (19 of 447). Rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The match starts at 3:30pm SAST.
During play: 24.6 °C on average, humidity 77%, wind 16 km/h gusting to 38. Humidity climbs from 71% to 85%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Play 15:30–19:05
110.0mm
120.0mm
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
210.0mm
Sunrisers Eastern Cape XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinton de Kockkeeper319 runs, SR 163 | +2.7 | – |
| 2 | Jonny Bairstow250 runs, SR 139 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | Matthew Breetzke194 runs, SR 128 | +0.8 | – |
| 4 | Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139 | +0.4 | – |
| 5 | Tristan Stubbs219 runs, SR 127 | +1.9 | – |
| 6 | James Coles3 overs220 runs, SR 147; 7 wkts, econ 8.58 | +1.4 | −0.9 |
| 7 | Marco Jansen4 overs58 runs, SR 106; 9 wkts, econ 11.25 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Lewis Gregory3 overs5 wkts, econ 9.96 | – | −0.3 |
| 9 | Senuran Muthusamy3 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31 | – | +1.1 |
| 10 | Adam Milne3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.95 | – | +2.0 |
| 11 | Anrich Nortje4 overs17 wkts, econ 7.62 | – | +3.2 |
Pretoria Capitals XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Hopekeeper240 runs, SR 113 | +2.0 | – |
| 2 | Connor Esterhuizen305 runs, SR 167 | −0.5 | – |
| 3 | Bryce Parsons236 runs, SR 124 | −1.5 | – |
| 4 | Wihan Lubbe140 runs, SR 112 | +0.3 | – |
| 5 | Dewald Brevis315 runs, SR 150 | +4.9 | – |
| 6 | Sherfane Rutherford258 runs, SR 135 | +2.0 | – |
| 7 | Roston Chase4 overs120 runs, SR 117; 15 wkts, econ 6.69 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Keshav Maharaj4 overs10 wkts, econ 8.94 | – | +1.0 |
| 9 | Lizaad Williams4 overs17 wkts, econ 9.47 | – | −1.1 |
| 10 | Lungi Ngidi4 overs13 wkts, econ 7.66 | – | +3.8 |
| 11 | Gideon Peters4 overs13 wkts, econ 8.56 | – | −0.3 |