Super Kings 40%. Sunrisers 60%.
SA20|5, match 8Saturday 23 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTThe Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 27 innings since Sept 2023.
11 of 22 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 49% (47 of 95). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, T20Is, Mzansi Super League and IPL.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Sunrisers Eastern Cape are favoured, with a 60% win chance, largely because their bowling is rated about 2 runs better than Joburg Super Kings' attack. On paper the gap is just 1.5 runs, with Sunrisers stronger overall despite Joburg's slight batting edge of 0.9 runs. The projected first-innings scores are 178 for Sunrisers and 176 for Joburg, against a par score of 175.
At this ground, the recent first-innings average is 173 from 27 games since September 2023, and the all-time median is 168 from 104 games. Chasing and batting first have split the last 22 games here 11-11, while all-time it is 48-47 to the side batting first. The sharpest angle is that Sunrisers' bowling advantage is built on proven performers, whereas Joburg's batting edge is narrower and their bowling unit is the weaker part of their side.
363 runs, SR 144, 14 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.3 runs better than an average opener. He has 363 runs at a strike rate of 143.5 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 14 sixes, and has scored 998 runs at this ground.
5 wkts, econ 7.53 in the last 10. Rated +2.3 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.3 runs better than an average bowler over three overs. He has 5 wickets at an economy of 7.53 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 268 career T20 wickets.
6 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated −2.6 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.6 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career economy is 9.18.
319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes, and 747 runs at this ground.
17 wkts, econ 7.62 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 202 career T20 wickets.
9 wkts, econ 11.25 in the last 10. Rated +1.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs and 1 run better with the bat. He has 9 wickets and 58 runs in his last 10 T20 matches.
Johannesburg, South Africa · 25 SA20 matches here
reached par (175). Median 168.
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 4% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 163, 2018–2022 185, 2023 onward 168.
3 January 2022 at The Wanderers Stadium: 22 °C, humidity 52%, wind 9 km/h and 0.1 mm of rain during the hours of play. 84 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at The Wanderers Stadium during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with only 0.1 mm of rain expected during play. Similar weather at SA20 grounds has shortened or washed out 4% of games, so rain is unlikely to interfere. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. Expect a full match with no weather interruptions.
During play: 21.9 °C on average, humidity 52%, wind 9 km/h gusting to 28. Humidity climbs from 42% to 65%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
5 January 2023 at The Wanderers Stadium: 18 °C, humidity 87%, wind 6 km/h and 2.8 mm of rain during the hours of play. 84 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at The Wanderers Stadium during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 2.8 mm of rain during the hours of play and a medium rain risk. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. The wettest spell is 19:00 to 20:00, overlapping the second innings. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 17.9 °C on average, humidity 87%, wind 6 km/h gusting to 22. Humidity climbs from 77% to 97%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 19:00–20:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
7 February 2026 at The Wanderers Stadium: 26 °C, humidity 28%, wind 9 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 84 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at The Wanderers Stadium during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during the match. Similar weather at SA20 grounds has seen only 4% of games shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. The humidity rises from 21% to 37% through the evening, but chasing success has not varied with humidity at SA20 grounds. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring.
During play: 25.9 °C on average, humidity 28%, wind 9 km/h gusting to 28. Humidity climbs from 21% to 37%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faf du Plessis363 runs, SR 144 | +4.3 | – |
| 2 | Michael-Kyle Pepperkeeper220 runs, SR 135 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | James Vince448 runs, SR 153 | +2.3 | – |
| 4 | M De Villiers151 runs, SR 116 | −1.8 | – |
| 5 | Wiaan Mulder3 overs199 runs, SR 156; 6 wkts, econ 10.03 | +0.2 | −2.6 |
| 6 | Dian Forrester1 over185 runs, SR 137; 9 wkts, econ 7.64 | +0.9 | −0.1 |
| 7 | Donavon Ferreira2 overs220 runs, SR 156; 4 wkts, econ 6.63 | +3.4 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Akeal Hosein3 overs5 wkts, econ 7.53 | – | +2.3 |
| 9 | Prenelan Subrayen3 overs12 wkts, econ 8.08 | – | +0.7 |
| 10 | Nandre Burger4 overs10 wkts, econ 10.18 | – | +1.0 |
| 11 | Richard Gleeson4 overs11 wkts, econ 10.79 | – | +2.4 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinton de Kockkeeper319 runs, SR 163 | +2.7 | – |
| 2 | Jonny Bairstow250 runs, SR 139 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | Matthew Breetzke194 runs, SR 128 | +0.8 | – |
| 4 | Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139 | +0.4 | – |
| 5 | Tristan Stubbs219 runs, SR 127 | +1.9 | – |
| 6 | James Coles3 overs220 runs, SR 147; 7 wkts, econ 8.58 | +1.4 | −0.9 |
| 7 | Marco Jansen4 overs58 runs, SR 106; 9 wkts, econ 11.25 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Lewis Gregory3 overs5 wkts, econ 9.96 | – | −0.3 |
| 9 | Senuran Muthusamy3 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31 | – | +1.1 |
| 10 | Adam Milne3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.95 | – | +2.0 |
| 11 | Anrich Nortje4 overs17 wkts, econ 7.62 | – | +3.2 |