Oddsworth

Western Province v Knights: Western Province 73% to win

Western Province 73%. Knights 27%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 6Sunday 27 September 2026, 6:00pm SASTNewlands, Cape Town

Western Province

ParBatting−5.1Bowling−0.9Overall−6.0

Knights

ParBatting−12.4Bowling−9.9Overall−22.2

Western Province bat first

First innings159
Knights short by37 runs
72%Western Province win
28%Knights win

Knights bat first

First innings148
Western Province chase in17.2 overs
73%Western Province win
27%Knights win

First innings

159Western Province bat first
148Knights bat first
164Par
167Recent average here

Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 18 innings since Sept 2023.

Chasing here

56%

10 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 55% (42 of 77). SA20, CSA T20 Challenge, T20Is, Mzansi Super League and IPL.

Rain risk

5%

of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).

Strengths and weaknesses

Josh van HeerdenBatting standout, Western Province: 355 runs, SR 152 (last 10)
George LindeBowling standout, Western Province: 12 wkts, econ 7.91 (last 10)
KnightsBatting weakness: −12.4 runs a game. Cloete SR 96, Senokwane SR 112 in the last 10.

Western Province favoured by about 16 runs at Newlands

Western Province are favoured, with a win chance of 73% and a paper edge of about 16 runs over Knights. That gap comes from both batting and bowling: Province are 7.2 runs better with the bat and 9 runs better with the ball. Knights are the weaker side on paper, with a team strength of 22.2 runs below average against Province's 6 runs below average.

Province are projected to make 159 batting first, Knights 148, against a par score of 164. Chasing has been the way here: chasers have won 10 of the last 18 games. The sharpest angle is Knights' batting, rated 12.4 runs below average, with Gihahn Cloete and Lesego Senokwane both out of form.

The case for the Western Province

  • Rated 7.2 runs better than Knights with the bat, led by Josh van Heerden's 355 runs at a strike rate of 151.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Rated 9 runs better than Knights with the ball, with George Linde and Nandre Burger both in form.
  • Projected to make 159 batting first, 11 runs more than Knights' 148.

Batting standout

Josh van Heerden

355 runs, SR 152, 13 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.6 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.6 runs better than an average batter. He has 355 runs at a strike rate of 151.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 13 sixes, and his form is only one month old.

Bowling standouts

George Linde

12 wkts, econ 7.91 in the last 10. Rated +1.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.7 runs better than an average bowler and 1.1 runs better with the bat. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 7.91 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his form is two months old.

Nandre Burger

10 wkts, econ 10.18 in the last 10. Rated +1.0 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1 run better than an average bowler. He has 10 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, though his economy in that window is 10.18. His form is three months old.

The case for the Knights

  • Jacques Snyman is rated 1.2 runs better than an average batter and has 280 runs at a strike rate of 153.8 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Chasing has been the way at Newlands: chasers have won 10 of the last 18 games here.

Batting weaknesses

Gihahn Cloete

151 runs, SR 96, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.5 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.5 runs worse than an average batter. He has 151 runs at a strike rate of 96.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, and that form is 23 months old.

Lesego Senokwane

229 runs, SR 112, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.2 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.2 runs worse than an average opener. He has 229 runs at a strike rate of 111.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, and that form is 23 months old.

Bowling weakness

Seth Fledermaus

2 wkts, econ 10.67 in the last 1. Rated −2.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.5 runs worse than an average bowler and 2.3 runs worse with the bat, on limited data. He has played one T20 match, taking 2 wickets at an economy of 10.67.

Newlands

Cape Town, South Africa · 22 CSA T20 matches here

First men's T20
2007
Men's T20s
84

The ground's full record

Every first innings here

27 of 80

reached par (164). Median 156.

Under par Par or more

Recent CSA T20 first innings average 160; games here have scored in line with their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 148, 2018–2022 173, 2023 onward 158.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%6 of 32
150–16958%11 of 19
170–18959%10 of 17
190–20986%6 of 7
210+100%2 of 2

Weather: forecast

Newlands, Sunday 27 September: no rain expected during the hours of play.

The forecast for Newlands on Sunday is dry, with no rain expected during the hours of play and a low rain risk. At South African grounds, only 5% of games in similar dry weather were shortened or washed out. Rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at South African grounds.

During play: 13.4 °C on average, humidity 68%, wind 24 km/h gusting to 77. Humidity climbs from 62% to 74%; at South African grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

Western Province XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Daniel Smithkeeper234 runs, SR 125−2.0–
2Valentine Kitime116 runs, SR 98 (form 23 months old)−3.0–
3Josh van Heerden2 overs355 runs, SR 152; 6 wkts, econ 6.98+2.6−0.6
4Eddie Moore293 runs, SR 119 (form 23 months old)−0.2–
5David Bedinghamunsigned198 runs, SR 130+0.1–
6Kyle Verreynneunsigned184 runs, SR 107+0.3–
7Mihlali Mpongwana4 overs171 runs, SR 106; 12 wkts, econ 8.34 (form 23 months old)−2.0−1.8
8George Linde4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.91–+1.7
9Oliver Whitehead2 overs1 wkts, econ 10.50 (form 23 months old)–−1.2
10Kyle Simmonds4 overs8 wkts, econ 6.22 (form 19 months old)–+0.1
11Nandre Burger4 overs10 wkts, econ 10.18–+1.0

Team record and squad

Knights XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Lesego Senokwane229 runs, SR 112 (form 23 months old)−3.2–
2Jacques Snyman2 overs280 runs, SR 154; 2 wkts, econ 7.70+1.2−1.1
3George van Heerden107 runs, SR 188 (form 30 months old)+0.3–
4Gihahn Cloetekeeper151 runs, SR 96 (form 23 months old)−3.5–
5Seth Fledermaus4 overs2 wkts, econ 10.67 (form 23 months old)−2.3−2.5
6Tiaan van Vuuren3 overs84 runs, SR 118; 1 wkts, econ 9.80 (form 20 months old)−1.4−2.7
7Ruan Haasbroek4 matches, 28 runs off 28 balls (form 55 months old)−1.2–
8Dane Piedt4 overs5 wkts, econ 6.07−0.9−0.1
9Malusi Siboto4 overs15 wkts, econ 9.53 (form 23 months old)–−2.2
10Junaid Dawood3 overs12 wkts, econ 8.00 (form 23 months old)–−1.3
11Isaac Dikgale3 matches, 38 runs off 26 balls (form 46 months old)––

Team record and squad

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