Royals 53%. Super Kings 47%.
SA20|5, match 2Monday 18 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTBoland Park, Paarl
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 18 innings since Sept 2023.
8 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 51% (25 of 49). SA20, CSA T20 Challenge, Mzansi Super League and T20Is.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
This is too close to call. Paarl Royals are stronger on paper by about 1 run, but the win chances are 53% to 47% and the model's edge comes entirely from bowling, where Paarl are 5 runs better. Joburg Super Kings are the better batting side by 4.2 runs. With the teams so evenly matched, the game looks likely to be decided by which of those strengths lands harder.
The par score is 167, and the first-innings projection is 167 for Paarl and 161 for Joburg. Teams batting first have won 10 of the last 18 here, while all-time at the ground chasers have won 25 of 49. The sharpest angle is the 150–169 band: sides defending totals in that range have won 55% of games here, and both projected first innings sit right in it.
15 wkts, econ 8.68 in the last 10. Rated +3.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 15 wickets at an economy of 8.68 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 234 runs conceded in 36 overs at this ground.
20 wkts, econ 7.57 in the last 10. Rated +3.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 20 wickets at an economy of 7.57 in his last 10 T20 matches, though that form is two months old.
11 wkts, econ 9.36 in the last 10. Rated −2.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 9.36 in his last 10 T20 matches, and has conceded 185 runs in 18 overs at this ground.
363 runs, SR 144, 14 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.3 runs better than an average opener. He has 363 runs at a strike rate of 143.5 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 311 runs in 13 innings at this ground.
6 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated −2.6 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.6 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Joburg's bowling is their weaker unit at 4.2 runs versus average.
Paarl, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here
reached par (167). Median 158.
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 1% below their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 151, 2018–2022 161, 2023 onward 160.
16 January 2025 at Boland Park: 25 °C, humidity 39%, wind 17 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 8 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 18 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Boland Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry, like 16 January 2025 at Boland Park: 25 °C, humidity 39%, wind 17 km/h and no rain during the hours of play. Rain risk is low. At SA20 grounds, 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 25.5 °C on average, humidity 39%, wind 17 km/h gusting to 43. Humidity climbs from 25% to 45%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
30 December 2023 at Boland Park: 25 °C, humidity 65%, wind 10 km/h and 3 mm of rain during the hours of play. 8 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 18 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Boland Park during these hours.
These conditions carry a medium rain risk, with 3 mm during the hours of play and the wettest spell from 18:00 to 19:00, overlapping the first innings. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar wet weather were shortened or washed out (34 of 91). Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring. Lost overs and a rain-rule finish are a real possibility.
During play: 25.1 °C on average, humidity 65%, wind 10 km/h gusting to 35. Humidity climbs from 56% to 69%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 18:00–19:00, mostly over the first innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
26 January 2019 at Boland Park: 31 °C, humidity 31%, wind 14 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 8 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 18 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Boland Park during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during play. Only 4% of games at SA20 grounds in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The par score of 167 and the projections of 167 and 161 stand on that basis.
During play: 30.8 °C on average, humidity 31%, wind 14 km/h gusting to 43. Humidity climbs from 15% to 47%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LG Pretoriuskeeper378 runs, SR 176 | +3.0 | – |
| 2 | Asa Tribe187 runs, SR 126 | +0.5 | – |
| 3 | Rubin Hermann178 runs, SR 138 | −0.5 | – |
| 4 | Daniel Lawrence231 runs, SR 151 | +2.4 | – |
| 5 | David Miller175 runs, SR 148 | +2.8 | – |
| 6 | Sikandar Raza4 overs141 runs, SR 103; 4 wkts, econ 8.38 | +2.0 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Delano Potgieter43 runs, SR 96 | −1.2 | – |
| 8 | Bjorn Fortuin4 overs16 wkts, econ 6.58 | – | +2.0 |
| 9 | N Mokoena4 overs11 wkts, econ 9.36 | – | −2.1 |
| 10 | Mujeeb Ur Rahman4 overs15 wkts, econ 8.68 | – | +3.5 |
| 11 | Ottniel Baartman4 overs20 wkts, econ 7.57 | – | +3.5 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faf du Plessis363 runs, SR 144 | +4.3 | – |
| 2 | Michael-Kyle Pepperkeeper220 runs, SR 135 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | James Vince448 runs, SR 153 | +2.3 | – |
| 4 | M De Villiers151 runs, SR 116 | −1.8 | – |
| 5 | Wiaan Mulder3 overs199 runs, SR 156; 6 wkts, econ 10.03 | +0.2 | −2.6 |
| 6 | Dian Forrester1 over185 runs, SR 137; 9 wkts, econ 7.64 | +0.9 | −0.1 |
| 7 | Donavon Ferreira2 overs220 runs, SR 156; 4 wkts, econ 6.63 | +3.4 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Akeal Hosein3 overs5 wkts, econ 7.53 | – | +2.3 |
| 9 | Prenelan Subrayen3 overs12 wkts, econ 8.08 | – | +0.7 |
| 10 | Nandre Burger4 overs10 wkts, econ 10.18 | – | +1.0 |
| 11 | Richard Gleeson4 overs11 wkts, econ 10.79 | – | +2.4 |