Matt Short
452 runs, SR 145, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.2 runs better than an average opener. He has 452 runs at a strike rate of 144.9 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 19 sixes.
Strikers
ParBatting+7.0Bowling+3.1Overall+10.2
Thunder
ParBatting+5.2Bowling−1.2Overall+4.0
Strikers bat first
First innings176
Thunder short by29 runs
57%Strikers win
43%Thunder win
Thunder bat first
First innings176
Strikers chase in18.1 overs
63%Strikers win
37%Thunder win
First innings
176Strikers bat first
176Thunder bat first
180Par
179Recent average here
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 15 innings since Sept 2023.
Chasing here
60%
9 of 15 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 44% (40 of 91). BBL and T20Is.
Rain risk
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 636).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
37%of games in wet weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened or washed out (37 of 101).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 636).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Strengths and weaknesses
Matt ShortBatting standout, Strikers: 452 runs, SR 145 (last 10)
Hassan AliBowling standout, Strikers: 24 wkts, econ 8.03 (last 10)
ThunderBowling weakness: −1.2 runs a game. McAndrew econ 10.63 in the last 10.
Adelaide Strikers favoured by about 6 runs, mostly with the ball
Adelaide Strikers are favoured, with a win chance of 60% against Sydney Thunder's 40%. They are also the stronger side on paper, about 6 runs clear, and the edge comes mostly from bowling: their attack is rated 4.3 runs better than Thunder's, while their batting is 1.9 runs better. Adelaide's total strength is 10.2 runs above average, with batting 7 and bowling 3.1; Thunder are 4 runs above average, with batting 5.2 and bowling -1.2.
The par score is 180, the total defended about half the time. Both sides are projected to make 176 batting first, against a recent league first-innings average of 170 from 60 innings. At this ground, the recent average is 179 from 15 innings since September 2023, and the all-time median is 167 from 92 innings. Chasers have won 9 of the last 15 here, and 40 of 91 all-time. The sharpest angle is Adelaide's bowling edge against a Thunder attack that is rated below average.
The case for the Strikers
- Rated 4.3 runs better than Sydney Thunder with the ball, and 1.9 runs better with the bat.
- Matt Short is rated 4.2 runs better than an average opener and has 452 runs at a strike rate of 144.9 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Hassan Ali is rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 24 wickets at an economy of 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Hassan Ali
24 wkts, econ 8.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 24 wickets at an economy of 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for the Thunder
- David Warner is rated 4 runs better than an average top-order batter and has 515 runs at a strike rate of 149.3 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Chris Green is rated 2.2 runs better than an average bowler over three overs and 1.7 runs better with the bat.
- Sam Billings is rated 1.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter and has 273 runs at a strike rate of 155.1 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
David Warner
515 runs, SR 149, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.0 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4 runs better than an average top-order batter. He has 515 runs at a strike rate of 149.3 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes.
Bowling standout
Chris Green
6 wkts, econ 7.72 in the last 10. Rated +2.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.2 runs better than an average bowler over three overs and 1.7 runs better with the bat. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 7.72 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weaknesses
Nathan McAndrew
15 wkts, econ 10.63 in the last 10. Rated −1.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 15 wickets at an economy of 10.63 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Ryan Hadley
2 wkts, econ 12.79 in the last 4. Rated −3.6 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.6 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs, on limited data. He has 2 wickets at an economy of 12.79 in his last 4 T20 matches.
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Adelaide Oval
Adelaide, Australia · 83 BBL matches here
Cricket has been played on the oval since December 1873 and Tests since December 1884, and the hand-operated scoreboard of 1911 still works.
- Opened
- 1873
- Capacity
- 53,500 seats
- Ends
- River End · Cathedral End
- Home to
- Adelaide Strikers (BBL)
Every first innings here
30 of 92reached par (180). Median 167.
Under par Par or more
Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored about 4% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 161, 2018–2022 170, 2023 onward 165.
100150180200250
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15018%4 of 22
150–16954%14 of 26
170–18975%21 of 28
190–20971%5 of 7
210+88%7 of 8
Weather: dry, like 10 Dec 2017
10 December 2017 at Adelaide Oval: 21 °C, humidity 55%, wind 18 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 8 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Adelaide Oval during these hours.
These conditions are dry, like 10 December 2017, with no rain expected during play. At Australian BBL grounds, only 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring. The projected totals of 176 for either side sit just below the par score of 180.
During play: 21.2 °C on average, humidity 55%, wind 18 km/h gusting to 36.
Play 18:45–22:20
14:300.0mm
15:300.0mm
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17:300.0mm
18:300.0mm
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20:300.0mm
21:300.0mm
22:300.0mm
23:300.0mm
Weather: wet, like 2 Dec 2024
2 December 2024 at Adelaide Oval: 22 °C, humidity 87%, wind 7 km/h and 2.2 mm of rain during the hours of play. 8 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Adelaide Oval during these hours.
This weather is wet, like 2 December 2024 at Adelaide Oval, with 2.2 mm of rain during the hours of play. The wettest spell runs from 18:30 to 19:30 and overlaps the first innings. At Australian BBL grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring. Lost overs and a rain-rule finish are a real possibility.
During play: 21.8 °C on average, humidity 87%, wind 7 km/h gusting to 29.
Heaviest rain 18:30–19:30, mostly over the first innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
Play 18:45–22:20
14:300.4mm
15:300.0mm
16:300.1mm
17:300.1mm
18:301.9mm
19:300.2mm
20:300.1mm
21:300.0mm
22:300.0mm
23:300.0mm
Weather: hot, like 7 Jan 2023
7 January 2023 at Adelaide Oval: 30 °C, humidity 25%, wind 11 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 8 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Adelaide Oval during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, like 7 January 2023 at Adelaide Oval: 30 °C, 25% humidity, 11 km/h wind and no rain during play. Rain risk is low. At Australian BBL grounds, 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, 26 of 636. Rain should not be a factor, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring.
During play: 30.2 °C on average, humidity 25%, wind 11 km/h gusting to 32.
Play 18:45–22:20
14:300.0mm
15:300.0mm
16:300.0mm
17:300.0mm
18:300.0mm
19:300.0mm
20:300.0mm
21:300.0mm
22:300.0mm
23:300.0mm
Adelaide Strikers XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Short2 overs452 runs, SR 145; 14 wkts, econ 7.60 | +4.2 | +0.3 |
| 2 | Alex Careykeeper219 runs, SR 153 | +0.9 | – |
| 3 | Liam Scott232 runs, SR 123 | +1.6 | – |
| 4 | Jason Sangha187 runs, SR 121 | −0.9 | – |
| 5 | Mark Chapman289 runs, SR 149 | +3.0 | – |
| 6 | Ben Stokes2 overs156 runs, SR 108; 5 wkts, econ 7.96 (form 41 months old) | −0.1 | −0.9 |
| 7 | Jerrssis Wadia52 runs, SR 137 | −0.8 | – |
| 8 | Henry Thornton4 overs12 wkts, econ 8.68 | – | −0.3 |
| 9 | Hassan Aliunsigned, 4 overs24 wkts, econ 8.03 | – | +3.2 |
| 10 | Lloyd Pope4 overs14 wkts, econ 7.89 | – | −1.0 |
| 11 | Cameron Boyceunsigned, 4 overs8 wkts, econ 8.85 | – | +1.8 |
Sydney Thunder XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Gilkes232 runs, SR 156 | −0.3 | – |
| 2 | Sam Konstas160 runs, SR 106 | −2.4 | – |
| 3 | David Warner515 runs, SR 149 | +4.0 | – |
| 4 | Cameron Bancroft180 runs, SR 111 | −1.3 | – |
| 5 | Sam Billingskeeper273 runs, SR 155 | +1.9 | – |
| 6 | Daniel Sams4 overs50 runs, SR 106; 15 wkts, econ 7.38 | +0.9 | +1.1 |
| 7 | Chris Green3 overs142 runs, SR 150; 6 wkts, econ 7.72 | +1.7 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Nathan McAndrewunsigned, 4 overs15 wkts, econ 10.63 | – | −1.8 |
| 9 | Tanveer Sangha4 overs5 wkts, econ 8.61 | – | +2.0 |
| 10 | Ryan Hadley3 overs2 wkts, econ 12.79 | – | −3.6 |
| 11 | Aidan O'Connor2 overs1 wkts, econ 8.50 | – | −1.1 |