Dewald Brevis
315 runs, SR 150, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter. He has 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes.
Capitals
ParBatting+5.0Bowling+6.2Overall+11.3
Super Giants
ParBatting+14.0Bowling+14.2Overall+28.2
Capitals bat first
First innings172
Super Giants chase in18.1 overs
71%Super Giants win
29%Capitals win
Super Giants bat first
First innings192
Capitals short by40 runs
72%Super Giants win
28%Capitals win
First innings
172Capitals bat first
192Super Giants bat first
185Par
185Recent average here
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 21 innings since Sept 2023.
Chasing here
38%
8 of 21 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 57% (44 of 77). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, T20Is, IPL and Mzansi Super League.
Rain risk
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
37%of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Strengths and weaknesses
Dewald BrevisBatting standout, Capitals: 315 runs, SR 150 (last 10)
Sunil NarineBowling standout, Super Giants: 14 wkts, econ 4.87 (last 10)
CapitalsBatting weakness: +5.0 runs a game. Parsons SR 124, Maharaj SR 93 in the last 10.
Durban's Super Giants favoured by about 17 runs at Centurion
Durban's Super Giants are favoured, and they are also the stronger side on paper by about 17 runs. Their edge comes from both batting and bowling: they are about 9 runs better with the bat and about 8 runs better with the ball. Their team strength is 28.2 runs better than average against Pretoria Capitals' 11.3, and the win chances split 71% to 29%.
Durban's Super Giants project 192 batting first, Pretoria Capitals 172, against a par score of 185. The recent average here is 185 from 21 innings, and the all-time median is 170 from 80 games. Teams batting first have won 13 of the last 21 here, while chasers have won 44 of 77 all-time. The sharpest angle is Durban's Super Giants' bowling: Sunil Narine is rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler and Noor Ahmad 5.7 better.
The case for the Capitals
- Dewald Brevis is rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter and has 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Lungi Ngidi is rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler and Roston Chase 2.9 better.
- Sherfane Rutherford is rated 2 runs better than an average batter and has 258 runs at a strike rate of 135.1 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
Batting weakness
Bryce Parsons
236 runs, SR 124, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.5 runs worse than an average batter. He has 236 runs at a strike rate of 124.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his form is seven months old.
Bowling weakness
Lizaad Williams
17 wkts, econ 9.47 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 9.47 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for the Super Giants
- Rated 28.2 runs better than average overall, with a batting edge of 8.9 runs and a bowling edge of 8 runs.
- Sunil Narine is rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler and Noor Ahmad 5.7 better.
- Jos Buttler, Heinrich Klaasen and Aiden Markram are all rated above average with the bat.
Batting standouts
Jos Buttler
356 runs, SR 172, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.1 runs better than an average batter. He has 356 runs at a strike rate of 172 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 19 sixes.
Heinrich Klaasen
274 runs, SR 152, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.7 runs better than an average batter. He has 274 runs at a strike rate of 152.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes.
Bowling standout
Sunil Narine
14 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 175 runs at a strike rate of 160.6.
SuperSport Park
Centurion, South Africa · 22 SA20 matches here
- First men's T20
- 2009
- Men's T20s
- 91
Every first innings here
23 of 80reached par (185). Median 170.
Under par Par or more
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 10% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 155, 2018–2022 172, 2023 onward 205.
100150185200250
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 1507%2 of 27
150–16950%6 of 12
170–18959%10 of 17
190–20960%3 of 5
210+75%12 of 16
Weather: dry, like 2 Feb 2022
2 February 2022 at SuperSport Park: 23 °C, humidity 60%, wind 9 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 80 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 19 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at SuperSport Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during play. At SA20 grounds, 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The match starts at Tuesday 19 January 2027, 5:30pm SAST.
During play: 23.3 °C on average, humidity 60%, wind 9 km/h gusting to 24. Humidity climbs from 45% to 68%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Play 17:30–21:05
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
210.0mm
220.0mm
230.0mm
Weather: wet, like 31 Dec 2025
31 December 2025 at SuperSport Park: 22 °C, humidity 65%, wind 10 km/h and 2.9 mm of rain during the hours of play. 80 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 19 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at SuperSport Park during these hours.
These conditions carry a medium rain risk, with 2.9 mm expected during play and the wettest spell from 21:00 to 22:00, overlapping the second innings. Across SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring here. Runs lines assume 20 overs, so a rain-rule finish is a real possibility.
During play: 22.0 °C on average, humidity 65%, wind 10 km/h gusting to 27. Humidity climbs from 50% to 89%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 21:00–22:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
Play 17:30–21:05
130.0mm
141.2mm
150.9mm
161.8mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
212.9mm
220.0mm
231.4mm
Weather: hot, like 25 Jan 2025
25 January 2025 at SuperSport Park: 26 °C, humidity 34%, wind 15 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 80 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 19 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at SuperSport Park during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, like 25 January 2025 at SuperSport Park: 26 °C, humidity 34%, wind 15 km/h and no rain during the hours of play. Rain risk is low. Across 447 games in similar weather at SA20 grounds, 4% were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 26.5 °C on average, humidity 34%, wind 15 km/h gusting to 39. Humidity climbs from 29% to 41%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Play 17:30–21:05
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
210.0mm
220.0mm
230.0mm
Pretoria Capitals XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Hopekeeper240 runs, SR 113 | +2.0 | – |
| 2 | Connor Esterhuizen305 runs, SR 167 | −0.5 | – |
| 3 | Bryce Parsons236 runs, SR 124 | −1.5 | – |
| 4 | Wihan Lubbe140 runs, SR 112 | +0.3 | – |
| 5 | Dewald Brevis315 runs, SR 150 | +4.9 | – |
| 6 | Sherfane Rutherford258 runs, SR 135 | +2.0 | – |
| 7 | Roston Chase4 overs120 runs, SR 117; 15 wkts, econ 6.69 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Keshav Maharaj4 overs10 wkts, econ 8.94 | – | +1.0 |
| 9 | Lizaad Williams4 overs17 wkts, econ 9.47 | – | −1.1 |
| 10 | Lungi Ngidi4 overs13 wkts, econ 7.66 | – | +3.8 |
| 11 | Gideon Peters4 overs13 wkts, econ 8.56 | – | −0.3 |
Durban's Super Giants XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kane Williamson258 runs, SR 130 | +0.9 | – |
| 2 | Sunil Narine4 overs175 runs, SR 161; 14 wkts, econ 4.87 | +0.3 | +8.9 |
| 3 | Jos Buttlerkeeper356 runs, SR 172 | +4.1 | – |
| 4 | Aiden Markram220 runs, SR 138 | +3.2 | – |
| 5 | Heinrich Klaasen274 runs, SR 152 | +4.7 | – |
| 6 | Evan Jones131 runs, SR 151 | +0.9 | – |
| 7 | Eathan Bosch3 overs102 runs, SR 120; 8 wkts, econ 9.35 | −0.4 | −1.4 |
| 8 | David Wiese3 overs14 wkts, econ 7.35 | – | +0.2 |
| 9 | Simon Harmer3 overs11 wkts, econ 6.91 | – | +1.3 |
| 10 | Kwena Maphaka3 overs6 wkts, econ 7.69 | – | −0.6 |
| 11 | Noor Ahmad4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.39 | – | +5.7 |