Capitals 29%. Super Giants 71%.
SA20|5, match 3Tuesday 19 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTSuperSport Park, Centurion
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 21 innings since Sept 2023.
8 of 21 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 57% (44 of 77). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, T20Is, IPL and Mzansi Super League.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Durban's Super Giants are favoured, with a win chance of 71% against Pretoria Capitals' 29%. They are also the stronger side on paper by about 17 runs, built on an 8.9-run batting edge and an 8-run bowling edge. Their projected first-innings score of 192 is 7 runs above the par score of 185, while Pretoria's 172 is 13 below it.
Pretoria's batting unit is their weak point, rated only 5 runs better than average, and their bowlers are 6.2 runs better. Durban's batters are 14 runs better than average and their bowlers 14.2 runs better. The sharpest angle is the toss: teams batting first have won 13 of the last 21 games here, and the projected scores suggest Durban would be the side better placed to defend or chase.
315 runs, SR 150, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.
Pretoria's top batter, rated 4.9 runs better than an average middle-order player. He has 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes.
236 runs, SR 124, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.5 runs worse than an average top-order batter. His last 10 T20 matches came in the SA20 seven months ago, where he scored 236 runs at a strike rate of 124.2.
17 wkts, econ 9.47 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 9.47 in his last 10 T20 matches.
356 runs, SR 172, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.1 runs better than an average batter in his slot. He has 356 runs at a strike rate of 172 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 19 sixes.
274 runs, SR 152, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.7 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He has 274 runs at a strike rate of 152.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes.
14 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, the biggest bowling edge in the match. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Centurion, South Africa · 22 SA20 matches here
reached par (185). Median 170.
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 10% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 155, 2018–2022 172, 2023 onward 205.
2 February 2022 at SuperSport Park: 23 °C, humidity 60%, wind 9 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 80 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 19 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at SuperSport Park during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during play. At SA20 grounds, 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The match starts at Tuesday 19 January 2027, 5:30pm SAST.
During play: 23.3 °C on average, humidity 60%, wind 9 km/h gusting to 24. Humidity climbs from 45% to 68%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
31 December 2025 at SuperSport Park: 22 °C, humidity 65%, wind 10 km/h and 2.9 mm of rain during the hours of play. 80 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 19 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at SuperSport Park during these hours.
These conditions carry a medium rain risk, with 2.9 mm expected during play and the wettest spell from 21:00 to 22:00, overlapping the second innings. Across SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring here. Runs lines assume 20 overs, so a rain-rule finish is a real possibility.
During play: 22.0 °C on average, humidity 65%, wind 10 km/h gusting to 27. Humidity climbs from 50% to 89%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 21:00–22:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
25 January 2025 at SuperSport Park: 26 °C, humidity 34%, wind 15 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 80 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 19 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at SuperSport Park during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, like 25 January 2025 at SuperSport Park: 26 °C, humidity 34%, wind 15 km/h and no rain during the hours of play. Rain risk is low. Across 447 games in similar weather at SA20 grounds, 4% were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 26.5 °C on average, humidity 34%, wind 15 km/h gusting to 39. Humidity climbs from 29% to 41%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Hopekeeper240 runs, SR 113 | +2.0 | – |
| 2 | Connor Esterhuizen305 runs, SR 167 | −0.5 | – |
| 3 | Bryce Parsons236 runs, SR 124 | −1.5 | – |
| 4 | Wihan Lubbe140 runs, SR 112 | +0.3 | – |
| 5 | Dewald Brevis315 runs, SR 150 | +4.9 | – |
| 6 | Sherfane Rutherford258 runs, SR 135 | +2.0 | – |
| 7 | Roston Chase4 overs120 runs, SR 117; 15 wkts, econ 6.69 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Keshav Maharaj4 overs10 wkts, econ 8.94 | – | +1.0 |
| 9 | Lizaad Williams4 overs17 wkts, econ 9.47 | – | −1.1 |
| 10 | Lungi Ngidi4 overs13 wkts, econ 7.66 | – | +3.8 |
| 11 | Gideon Peters4 overs13 wkts, econ 8.56 | – | −0.3 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kane Williamson258 runs, SR 130 | +0.9 | – |
| 2 | Sunil Narine4 overs175 runs, SR 161; 14 wkts, econ 4.87 | +0.3 | +8.9 |
| 3 | Jos Buttlerkeeper356 runs, SR 172 | +4.1 | – |
| 4 | Aiden Markram220 runs, SR 138 | +3.2 | – |
| 5 | Heinrich Klaasen274 runs, SR 152 | +4.7 | – |
| 6 | Evan Jones131 runs, SR 151 | +0.9 | – |
| 7 | Eathan Bosch3 overs102 runs, SR 120; 8 wkts, econ 9.35 | −0.4 | −1.4 |
| 8 | David Wiese3 overs14 wkts, econ 7.35 | – | +0.2 |
| 9 | Simon Harmer3 overs11 wkts, econ 6.91 | – | +1.3 |
| 10 | Kwena Maphaka3 overs6 wkts, econ 7.69 | – | −0.6 |
| 11 | Noor Ahmad4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.39 | – | +5.7 |