Heinrich Klaasen
274 runs, SR 152, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.7 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He scored 274 runs at a strike rate of 152.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes.
Super Giants
ParBatting+14.0Bowling+14.2Overall+28.2
Capitals
ParBatting+5.0Bowling+6.2Overall+11.3
Super Giants bat first
First innings176
Capitals short by38 runs
73%Super Giants win
27%Capitals win
Capitals bat first
First innings159
Super Giants chase in17.3 overs
72%Super Giants win
28%Capitals win
First innings
176Super Giants bat first
159Capitals bat first
171Par
172Recent average here
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.
Chasing here
28%
5 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 43% (39 of 91). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, IPL, T20Is and Mzansi Super League.
Rain risk
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
37%of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Strengths and weaknesses
Dewald BrevisBatting standout, Capitals: 315 runs, SR 150 (last 10)
Sunil NarineBowling standout, Super Giants: 14 wkts, econ 4.87 (last 10)
CapitalsBatting weakness: +5.0 runs a game. Parsons SR 124, Maharaj SR 93 in the last 10.
Durban's Super Giants favoured by about 17 runs at Kingsmead
Durban's Super Giants are favoured, with a win chance of 72% and a team strength about 17 runs higher than Pretoria Capitals. The edge comes from both batting and bowling: Durban's Super Giants are about 9 runs better with the bat and about 8 runs better with the ball. Their projected first-innings score is 176, while Pretoria Capitals project 159, against a par score of 171.
Games here have been won by the side batting first in 13 of the last 18, and the recent first-innings average here is 172 from 20 innings. The sharpest angle is that Durban's Super Giants hold both the top bowler in Sunil Narine and a batting line-up with several players rated above average, while Pretoria Capitals rely heavily on Dewald Brevis and have a weaker batting unit overall.
The case for the Super Giants
- Team strength is about 17 runs higher than Pretoria Capitals, with a batting edge of about 9 runs and a bowling edge of about 8 runs.
- Sunil Narine is rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler, and Noor Ahmad is rated 5.7 runs better, giving a strong bowling attack.
- Heinrich Klaasen and Jos Buttler are both rated above average with the bat, adding depth to the batting line-up.
Batting standout
Bowling standouts
Sunil Narine
14 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 14 wickets at an economy of 4.87, and he also strikes at 160.6 with the bat.
Noor Ahmad
12 wkts, econ 7.39 in the last 10. Rated +5.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 5.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He took 12 wickets at an economy of 7.39 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for the Capitals
- Dewald Brevis is rated 4.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter and scored 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Roston Chase is rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler and took 15 wickets at an economy of 6.69 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Lungi Ngidi is rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler and took 13 wickets at an economy of 7.66 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
Dewald Brevis
315 runs, SR 150, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He made 315 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 22 sixes.
Batting weaknesses
Bryce Parsons
236 runs, SR 124, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.5 runs worse than an average top-order batter. He scored 236 runs at a strike rate of 124.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his bowling economy was 9.62.
Keshav Maharaj
39 runs, SR 93 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.3 runs worse than an average lower-order batter. He scored 39 runs at a strike rate of 92.9 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Kingsmead
Durban, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here
- First men's T20
- 2007
- Men's T20s
- 110
Every first innings here
22 of 100reached par (171). Median 159.
Under par Par or more
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 158, 2018–2022 151, 2023 onward 170.
100150171200
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15032%10 of 31
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20990%9 of 10
210+100%5 of 5
Weather: dry, like 29 Jan 2026
29 January 2026 at Kingsmead: 28 °C, humidity 63%, wind 18 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 51 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during the match hours. At SA20 grounds, only 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. The match starts at 1:00pm SAST, and the weather is dry throughout, so no innings should be affected by rain. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds.
During play: 28.2 °C on average, humidity 63%, wind 19 km/h gusting to 49.
Play 13:00–16:35
090.4mm
100.2mm
110.0mm
120.0mm
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
Weather: wet, like 21 Jan 2025
21 January 2025 at Kingsmead: 25 °C, humidity 75%, wind 14 km/h and 1.6 mm of rain during the hours of play. 51 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 1.6 mm of rain during the hours of play, most likely between 13:00 and 14:00, which overlaps the first innings. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring. Rain could reduce overs, so runs markets may be settled differently.
During play: 24.6 °C on average, humidity 75%, wind 14 km/h gusting to 36.
Heaviest rain 13:00–14:00, mostly over the first innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
Play 13:00–16:35
090.1mm
100.1mm
110.2mm
120.8mm
130.8mm
140.4mm
150.2mm
160.2mm
170.2mm
180.1mm
Weather: hot, like 13 Feb 2022
13 February 2022 at Kingsmead: 31 °C, humidity 64%, wind 18 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 51 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 23 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during the match. Across SA20 grounds, 4% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Rain should not be a factor, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The start is 1:00pm SAST.
During play: 30.7 °C on average, humidity 64%, wind 18 km/h gusting to 46.
Play 13:00–16:35
090.0mm
100.0mm
110.0mm
120.0mm
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
Durban's Super Giants XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kane Williamson258 runs, SR 130 | +0.9 | – |
| 2 | Sunil Narine4 overs175 runs, SR 161; 14 wkts, econ 4.87 | +0.3 | +8.9 |
| 3 | Jos Buttlerkeeper356 runs, SR 172 | +4.1 | – |
| 4 | Aiden Markram220 runs, SR 138 | +3.2 | – |
| 5 | Heinrich Klaasen274 runs, SR 152 | +4.7 | – |
| 6 | Evan Jones131 runs, SR 151 | +0.9 | – |
| 7 | Eathan Bosch3 overs102 runs, SR 120; 8 wkts, econ 9.35 | −0.4 | −1.4 |
| 8 | David Wiese3 overs14 wkts, econ 7.35 | – | +0.2 |
| 9 | Simon Harmer3 overs11 wkts, econ 6.91 | – | +1.3 |
| 10 | Kwena Maphaka3 overs6 wkts, econ 7.69 | – | −0.6 |
| 11 | Noor Ahmad4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.39 | – | +5.7 |
Pretoria Capitals XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Hopekeeper240 runs, SR 113 | +2.0 | – |
| 2 | Connor Esterhuizen305 runs, SR 167 | −0.5 | – |
| 3 | Bryce Parsons236 runs, SR 124 | −1.5 | – |
| 4 | Wihan Lubbe140 runs, SR 112 | +0.3 | – |
| 5 | Dewald Brevis315 runs, SR 150 | +4.9 | – |
| 6 | Sherfane Rutherford258 runs, SR 135 | +2.0 | – |
| 7 | Roston Chase4 overs120 runs, SR 117; 15 wkts, econ 6.69 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Keshav Maharaj4 overs10 wkts, econ 8.94 | – | +1.0 |
| 9 | Lizaad Williams4 overs17 wkts, econ 9.47 | – | −1.1 |
| 10 | Lungi Ngidi4 overs13 wkts, econ 7.66 | – | +3.8 |
| 11 | Gideon Peters4 overs13 wkts, econ 8.56 | – | −0.3 |