Oddsworth

North West v Dolphins: Dolphins 61% to win

North West 39%. Dolphins 61%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 35Tuesday 13 October 2026, 6:00pm SASTJB Marks Oval, Potchefstroom

North West

ParBatting−10.0Bowling−10.7Overall−20.6

Dolphins

ParBatting−10.6Bowling−6.4Overall−16.9

North West bat first

First innings163
Dolphins chase in18 overs
61%Dolphins win
39%North West win

Dolphins bat first

First innings163
North West short by32 runs
61%Dolphins win
39%North West win

First innings

163North West bat first
163Dolphins bat first
167Par
163Recent average here

Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 3 innings since Sept 2023.

Chasing here

33%

1 of 3 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 38% (12 of 32). CSA T20 Challenge and T20Is.

Rain risk

5%

of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).

The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dian ForresterBatting standout, North West: 185 runs, SR 137 (last 10)
Prenelan SubrayenBowling standout, Dolphins: 12 wkts, econ 8.08 (last 10)
North WestBowling weakness: −10.7 runs a game. Dupavillon econ 10.12 in the last 10.

Dolphins favoured by about 4 runs on bowling

Dolphins are favoured, with a win chance of 61% against North West's 39%. They are also stronger on paper by about 4 runs, and that edge comes entirely from bowling: the Dolphins are 4.3 runs better than average with the ball, while North West are 10.7 runs worse. North West are marginally ahead with the bat, by 0.6 runs, but that is not enough to outweigh the bowling gap.

Both sides project 163, with the par score 167. Games here have been high-scoring recently: the median is 170 in three games since 2023, against 157 in 26 games from 2018 to 2022. Defending has been profitable in the middle range: 11 of 15 totals between 150 and 169 were defended. The sharpest angle is the Dolphins' bowling against a North West attack rated 10.7 runs worse than average.

The case for the North West

  • Batting is marginally ahead of the Dolphins, rated 0.6 runs better, with Dian Forrester in strong form: 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Forrester also offers a bowling option, with 9 wickets at an economy of 7.64 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standout

Dian Forrester

185 runs, SR 137, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.0 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 1 run better than an average batter. He has 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 10 sixes, and also took 9 wickets at an economy of 7.64.

Bowling weaknesses

Daryn Dupavillon

11 wkts, econ 10.12 in the last 10. Rated −2.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.5 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 11 wickets but an economy of 10.12 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 8.92.

Mthiwekhaya Nabe

8 wkts, econ 10.42 in the last 10. Rated −2.6 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.6 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 8 wickets at an economy of 10.42 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 8.88.

The case for the Dolphins

  • Bowling is the stronger unit, rated 4.3 runs better than an average attack, led by Prenelan Subrayen's 12 wickets at an economy of 8.08 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Marques Ackerman provides middle-order form with 234 runs at a strike rate of 141.8 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standout

Marques Ackerman

234 runs, SR 142, 7 sixes in the last 10. Rated +0.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 0.7 runs better than an average batter. He has 234 runs at a strike rate of 141.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 7 sixes.

Bowling standout

Prenelan Subrayen

12 wkts, econ 8.08 in the last 10. Rated +0.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 0.9 runs better than an average bowler. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.08 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 6.82.

Bowling weakness

Andile Simelane

6 wkts, econ 10.61 in the last 10. Rated −2.8 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.8 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.61 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 10.01.

JB Marks Oval

Potchefstroom, South Africa · 43 CSA T20 matches here

First men's T20
2012
Men's T20s
45

The ground's full record

Every first innings here

10 of 38

reached par (167). Median 159.

Under par Par or more

Recent CSA T20 first innings average 160; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 168, 2018–2022 157, 2023 onward 170.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15014%1 of 7
150–16973%11 of 15
170–18971%5 of 7
190–209100%1 of 1
210+100%2 of 2

Weather: dry, like 30 Sept 2016

30 September 2016 at JB Marks Oval: 21 °C, humidity 12%, wind 10 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 13 October in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at JB Marks Oval during these hours.

These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during the match. Similar dry weather at South African grounds has seen only 5% of games shortened or washed out, so rain is unlikely to interrupt either innings. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at South African grounds. Expect a full game.

During play: 20.9 °C on average, humidity 12%, wind 10 km/h gusting to 35.

North West XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Meeka-eel Princekeeper158 runs, SR 133 (form 23 months old)−2.8–
2Wihan Lubbe2 overs140 runs, SR 112; 2 wkts, econ 10.78+0.3−1.5
3Raynard van Tonder1 over220 runs, SR 112; 0 wkts, econ 8.00 (form 23 months old)−2.3−0.6
4Rubin Hermann178 runs, SR 138−0.5–
5Lesiba Ngoepe1 over205 runs, SR 128; 3 wkts, econ 9.75 (form 23 months old)−1.5−0.7
6Dian Forrester3 overs185 runs, SR 137; 9 wkts, econ 7.64+1.0−0.2
7Ruan de Swardt2 overs68 runs, SR 90; 4 wkts, econ 10.00−1.9−1.5
8Caleb Seleka4 overs9 wkts, econ 6.39 (form 23 months old)–−1.0
9Juan James1 match, 3 runs off 3 balls (form 23 months old)––
10Daryn Dupavillon4 overs11 wkts, econ 10.12 (form 20 months old)–−2.5
11Mthiwekhaya Nabe3 overs8 wkts, econ 10.42 (form 23 months old)–−2.6

Team record and squad

Dolphins XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Grant Roelofsenkeeper313 runs, SR 133 (form 23 months old)−1.1–
2Josh Richards95 runs, SR 95 (form 23 months old)−3.8–
3Bryce Parsons1 over236 runs, SR 124; 7 wkts, econ 9.62−1.6−0.3
4Marques Ackerman234 runs, SR 142+0.7–
5Jason Smith3 overs102 runs, SR 126−0.2−0.9
6Khaya Zondo213 runs, SR 116 (form 23 months old)−0.9–
7Hanu Viljoen2 matches, 15 runs off 10 balls (form 23 months old)−0.8–
8Andile Simelane4 overs6 wkts, econ 10.61–−2.8
9Prenelan Subrayen4 overs12 wkts, econ 8.08–+0.9
10Keith Dudgeon4 overs9 wkts, econ 8.30–−1.5
11Okuhle Cele4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.59 (form 23 months old)–−1.9

Team record and squad

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