Oddsworth

North West v Dolphins: Dolphins 61% to win

North West 39%. Dolphins 61%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 35Tuesday 13 October 2026, 6:00pm SASTJB Marks Oval, Potchefstroom

North West

ParBatting−10.0Bowling−10.7Overall−20.6

Dolphins

ParBatting−10.6Bowling−6.4Overall−16.9

North West bat first

First innings163
Dolphins chase in18 overs
61%Dolphins win
39%North West win

Dolphins bat first

First innings163
North West short by32 runs
61%Dolphins win
39%North West win

First innings

163North West bat first
163Dolphins bat first
167Par
163Recent average here

Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 3 innings since Sept 2023.

Chasing here

33%

1 of 3 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 38% (12 of 32). CSA T20 Challenge and T20Is.

Rain risk

5%

of games in dry weather at South African grounds were shortened (27 of 496).

The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dian ForresterBatting standout, North West: 185 runs, SR 137 (last 10)
Prenelan SubrayenBowling standout, Dolphins: 12 wkts, econ 8.08 (last 10)
North WestBowling weakness: −10.7 runs a game. Dupavillon econ 10.12 in the last 10.

Dolphins favoured by 3.7 runs on bowling strength

Dolphins are favoured, with a win chance of 61% to North West's 39%. The edge is about 4 runs on paper, all from bowling: Dolphins are 4.3 runs better than average with the ball, while North West are 10.7 runs worse. North West are marginally ahead with the bat, by 0.6 runs, but that does not offset the bowling gap.

Both sides project 163, below the par score of 167. The recent league first-innings average is 160 from 60 innings, and the recent average here is 163 from 3 innings. Defending has been the sharper angle here: teams defending 150–169 have won 73% (11 of 15), and teams batting first have won 2 of the last 3 here.

The case for the North West

  • Batting edge of 0.6 runs over Dolphins, with Dian Forrester rated 1 run better than an average batter and Wihan Lubbe 0.3 runs better.
  • Dian Forrester has 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Meeka-eel Prince has 101 runs at this ground from 3 innings.

Batting standout

Dian Forrester

185 runs, SR 137, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.0 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 1 run better than an average batter. Has 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 10 sixes, and also took 9 wickets at an economy of 7.64.

Bowling weaknesses

Daryn Dupavillon

11 wkts, econ 10.12 in the last 10. Rated −2.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.5 runs worse than an average bowler. Has 11 wickets at an economy of 10.12 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 8.92.

Mthiwekhaya Nabe

8 wkts, econ 10.42 in the last 10. Rated −2.6 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.6 runs worse than an average bowler. Has 8 wickets at an economy of 10.42 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 8.88.

The case for the Dolphins

  • Bowling edge of 4.3 runs over North West, with Prenelan Subrayen rated 0.9 runs better than an average bowler.
  • Prenelan Subrayen has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.08 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Marques Ackerman has 234 runs at a strike rate of 141.8 in his last 10.

Batting standout

Marques Ackerman

234 runs, SR 142, 7 sixes in the last 10. Rated +0.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 0.7 runs better than an average batter. Has 234 runs at a strike rate of 141.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 7 sixes.

Bowling standout

Prenelan Subrayen

12 wkts, econ 8.08 in the last 10. Rated +0.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 0.9 runs better than an average bowler. Has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.08 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 6.82.

Bowling weakness

Andile Simelane

6 wkts, econ 10.61 in the last 10. Rated −2.8 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.8 runs worse than an average bowler. Has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.61 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his career T20 economy is 10.01.

JB Marks Oval

Potchefstroom, South Africa · 43 CSA T20 matches here

First men's T20
2012
Men's T20s
45

The ground's full record

Every first innings here

10 of 38

reached par (167). Median 159.

Under par Par or more

Recent CSA T20 first innings average 160; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 168, 2018–2022 157, 2023 onward 170.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15014%1 of 7
150–16973%11 of 15
170–18971%5 of 7
190–209100%1 of 1
210+100%2 of 2

Weather: hot, like 6 Oct 2022

6 October 2022 at JB Marks Oval: 26 °C, humidity 16%, wind 9 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 23 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 13 October in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at JB Marks Oval during these hours.

These conditions are hot and dry, like 6 October 2022 at JB Marks Oval: 26 °C, humidity 16%, wind 9 km/h and no rain during the hours of play. Rain risk is low. At South African grounds, 5% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out (27 of 496). Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at South African grounds.

During play: 26.3 °C on average, humidity 16%, wind 9 km/h gusting to 23.

North West XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Meeka-eel Princekeeper158 runs, SR 133 (form 23 months old)−2.8–
2Wihan Lubbe2 overs140 runs, SR 112; 2 wkts, econ 10.78+0.3−1.5
3Raynard van Tonder1 over220 runs, SR 112; 0 wkts, econ 8.00 (form 23 months old)−2.3−0.6
4Rubin Hermann178 runs, SR 138−0.5–
5Lesiba Ngoepe1 over205 runs, SR 128; 3 wkts, econ 9.75 (form 23 months old)−1.5−0.7
6Dian Forrester3 overs185 runs, SR 137; 9 wkts, econ 7.64+1.0−0.2
7Ruan de Swardt2 overs68 runs, SR 90; 4 wkts, econ 10.00−1.9−1.5
8Caleb Seleka4 overs9 wkts, econ 6.39 (form 23 months old)–−1.0
9Juan James1 match, 3 runs off 3 balls (form 23 months old)––
10Daryn Dupavillon4 overs11 wkts, econ 10.12 (form 20 months old)–−2.5
11Mthiwekhaya Nabe3 overs8 wkts, econ 10.42 (form 23 months old)–−2.6

Team record and squad

Dolphins XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Grant Roelofsenkeeper313 runs, SR 133 (form 23 months old)−1.1–
2Josh Richards95 runs, SR 95 (form 23 months old)−3.8–
3Bryce Parsons1 over236 runs, SR 124; 7 wkts, econ 9.62−1.6−0.3
4Marques Ackerman234 runs, SR 142+0.7–
5Jason Smith3 overs102 runs, SR 126−0.2−0.9
6Khaya Zondo213 runs, SR 116 (form 23 months old)−0.9–
7Hanu Viljoen2 matches, 15 runs off 10 balls (form 23 months old)−0.8–
8Andile Simelane4 overs6 wkts, econ 10.61–−2.8
9Prenelan Subrayen4 overs12 wkts, econ 8.08–+0.9
10Keith Dudgeon4 overs9 wkts, econ 8.30–−1.5
11Okuhle Cele4 overs11 wkts, econ 7.59 (form 23 months old)–−1.9

Team record and squad

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