Super Giants 60%. Sunrisers 40%.
SA20|5, match 5Thursday 21 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTKingsmead, Durban
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.
5 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 43% (39 of 91). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, IPL, T20Is and Mzansi Super League.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Durban's Super Giants are favoured, with a 60% win chance, and are about 12 runs stronger on paper. The edge is mostly from bowling, where they are 7.7 runs ahead, while their batting is 4.5 runs better. Their projected first-innings total of 174 sits above the par score of 171.
Sunrisers Eastern Cape project 160 batting first, and their strength total of 16 runs against average trails Durban's 28.2. At this ground, teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18, and 76% of sides defending 170–189 have held on. The sharpest angle is Durban's bowling: Sunil Narine has 14 wickets at 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Noor Ahmad is rated 5.7 runs better than an average bowler.
274 runs, SR 152, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.7 runs better than an average batter. He has 274 runs at a strike rate of 152 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes, and 633 runs in 27 innings at this ground.
14 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 64 runs conceded in 12 overs at this ground.
12 wkts, econ 7.39 in the last 10. Rated +5.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 5.7 runs better than an average bowler. He took 12 wickets at an economy of 7.39 in his last 10 T20 matches, and has 264 runs conceded in 36.2 overs at this ground.
8 wkts, econ 9.35 in the last 10. Rated −1.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.4 runs worse than an average bowler and 0.4 runs worse with the bat. He has 8 wickets at an economy of 9.35 in his last 10 T20 matches.
319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes, and 596 runs in 20 innings at this ground.
17 wkts, econ 7.62 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 234 runs conceded in 35.1 overs at this ground.
Durban, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here
reached par (171). Median 159.
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 158, 2018–2022 151, 2023 onward 170.
23 January 2025 at Kingsmead: 25 °C, humidity 84%, wind 14 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are dry, like 23 January 2025 at Kingsmead, with no rain expected during play. Only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The evening stays warm, around 24 °C, with humidity rising from 78% to 90%.
During play: 24.9 °C on average, humidity 84%, wind 14 km/h gusting to 44. Humidity climbs from 78% to 90%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
19 January 2022 at Kingsmead: 23 °C, humidity 87%, wind 21 km/h and 3.5 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 3.5 mm of rain during the hours of play, and the wettest spell from 19:00 to 22:00 overlaps the second innings. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring. Lost overs and a rain-rule finish are a real possibility.
During play: 22.7 °C on average, humidity 87%, wind 21 km/h gusting to 47. Humidity climbs from 78% to 94%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 19:00–22:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
2 February 2022 at Kingsmead: 27 °C, humidity 79%, wind 21 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during play. Only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (19 of 447), so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The chasing record here is poor: teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18.
During play: 27.1 °C on average, humidity 79%, wind 21 km/h gusting to 48. Humidity climbs from 72% to 84%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kane Williamson258 runs, SR 130 | +0.9 | – |
| 2 | Sunil Narine4 overs175 runs, SR 161; 14 wkts, econ 4.87 | +0.3 | +8.9 |
| 3 | Jos Buttlerkeeper356 runs, SR 172 | +4.1 | – |
| 4 | Aiden Markram220 runs, SR 138 | +3.2 | – |
| 5 | Heinrich Klaasen274 runs, SR 152 | +4.7 | – |
| 6 | Evan Jones131 runs, SR 151 | +0.9 | – |
| 7 | Eathan Bosch3 overs102 runs, SR 120; 8 wkts, econ 9.35 | −0.4 | −1.4 |
| 8 | David Wiese3 overs14 wkts, econ 7.35 | – | +0.2 |
| 9 | Simon Harmer3 overs11 wkts, econ 6.91 | – | +1.3 |
| 10 | Kwena Maphaka3 overs6 wkts, econ 7.69 | – | −0.6 |
| 11 | Noor Ahmad4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.39 | – | +5.7 |
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinton de Kockkeeper319 runs, SR 163 | +2.7 | – |
| 2 | Jonny Bairstow250 runs, SR 139 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | Matthew Breetzke194 runs, SR 128 | +0.8 | – |
| 4 | Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139 | +0.4 | – |
| 5 | Tristan Stubbs219 runs, SR 127 | +1.9 | – |
| 6 | James Coles3 overs220 runs, SR 147; 7 wkts, econ 8.58 | +1.4 | −0.9 |
| 7 | Marco Jansen4 overs58 runs, SR 106; 9 wkts, econ 11.25 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Lewis Gregory3 overs5 wkts, econ 9.96 | – | −0.3 |
| 9 | Senuran Muthusamy3 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31 | – | +1.1 |
| 10 | Adam Milne3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.95 | – | +2.0 |
| 11 | Anrich Nortje4 overs17 wkts, econ 7.62 | – | +3.2 |