Oddsworth

Durban's Super Giants v Sunrisers Eastern Cape: Super Giants 60% to win

Super Giants 60%. Sunrisers 40%.

SA20|5, match 5Thursday 21 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTKingsmead, Durban

Super Giants

ParBatting+14.0Bowling+14.2Overall+28.2

Sunrisers

ParBatting+9.4Bowling+6.5Overall+16.0

Super Giants bat first

First innings174
Sunrisers short by32 runs
60%Super Giants win
40%Sunrisers win

Sunrisers bat first

First innings160
Super Giants chase in17.5 overs
59%Super Giants win
41%Sunrisers win

First innings

174Super Giants bat first
160Sunrisers bat first
171Par
172Recent average here

Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.

Chasing here

28%

5 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 43% (39 of 91). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, IPL, T20Is and Mzansi Super League.

Rain risk

4%

of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).

The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.

Strengths and weaknesses

Heinrich KlaasenBatting standout, Super Giants: 274 runs, SR 152 (last 10)
Sunil NarineBowling standout, Super Giants: 14 wkts, econ 4.87 (last 10)

Durban's Super Giants favoured by about 12 runs on paper

Durban's Super Giants are favoured, with a 60% win chance. They are also the stronger side on paper, about 12 runs clear, and the edge is mostly from bowling: about 8 runs better than Sunrisers Eastern Cape with the ball and about 5 runs better with the bat. Durban's Super Giants project 174 batting first, Sunrisers Eastern Cape 160, against a par score of 171.

At Kingsmead, teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18 games here, and 170–189 has been defended 76% of the time (13 of 17). The recent first-innings average here is 172 from 20 innings, against a league average of 165 from 60. The sharpest angle is the toss: this is a bat-first ground, and the side that bats first gets the better of it.

The case for the Super Giants

  • Rated about 12 runs stronger on paper, with a bowling edge of about 8 runs and a batting edge of about 5 runs.
  • Sunil Narine and Noor Ahmad are both rated well above average with the ball, and Heinrich Klaasen is rated 4.7 runs better than an average batter.

Batting standout

Heinrich Klaasen

274 runs, SR 152, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 4.7 runs better than an average batter. He has 274 runs at a strike rate of 152 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 633 runs at this ground.

Bowling standouts

Sunil Narine

14 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 64 runs conceded from 12 overs here.

Noor Ahmad

12 wkts, econ 7.39 in the last 10. Rated +5.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 5.7 runs better than an average bowler. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 7.39 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 264 runs conceded from 36.2 overs here.

Bowling weakness

Eathan Bosch

8 wkts, econ 9.35 in the last 10. Rated −1.4 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.4 runs worse than an average bowler and 0.4 runs worse than an average batter. He has 8 wickets at an economy of 9.35 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for the Sunrisers

  • Quinton de Kock is rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener and has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Anrich Nortje is rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler, with 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standout

Quinton de Kock

319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 596 runs at this ground.

Bowling standout

Anrich Nortje

17 wkts, econ 7.62 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 234 runs conceded from 35.1 overs here.

Kingsmead

Durban, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here

First men's T20
2007
Men's T20s
110

The ground's full record

Every first innings here

22 of 100

reached par (171). Median 159.

Under par Par or more

Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 158, 2018–2022 151, 2023 onward 170.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15032%10 of 31
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20990%9 of 10
210+100%5 of 5

Weather: hot, like 2 Feb 2022

2 February 2022 at Kingsmead: 27 °C, humidity 79%, wind 21 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.

These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during play. Only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (19 of 447), so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The chasing record here is poor: teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18.

During play: 27.1 °C on average, humidity 79%, wind 21 km/h gusting to 48. Humidity climbs from 72% to 84%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

Durban's Super Giants XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Kane Williamson258 runs, SR 130+0.9–
2Sunil Narine4 overs175 runs, SR 161; 14 wkts, econ 4.87+0.3+8.9
3Jos Buttlerkeeper356 runs, SR 172+4.1–
4Aiden Markram220 runs, SR 138+3.2–
5Heinrich Klaasen274 runs, SR 152+4.7–
6Evan Jones131 runs, SR 151+0.9–
7Eathan Bosch3 overs102 runs, SR 120; 8 wkts, econ 9.35−0.4−1.4
8David Wiese3 overs14 wkts, econ 7.35–+0.2
9Simon Harmer3 overs11 wkts, econ 6.91–+1.3
10Kwena Maphaka3 overs6 wkts, econ 7.69–−0.6
11Noor Ahmad4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.39–+5.7

Team record and squad

Sunrisers Eastern Cape XI

Batting positionPlayer and last 10BatBowl
1Quinton de Kockkeeper319 runs, SR 163+2.7–
2Jonny Bairstow250 runs, SR 139+2.3–
3Matthew Breetzke194 runs, SR 128+0.8–
4Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139+0.4–
5Tristan Stubbs219 runs, SR 127+1.9–
6James Coles3 overs220 runs, SR 147; 7 wkts, econ 8.58+1.4−0.9
7Marco Jansen4 overs58 runs, SR 106; 9 wkts, econ 11.25+1.0+1.4
8Lewis Gregory3 overs5 wkts, econ 9.96–−0.3
9Senuran Muthusamy3 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31–+1.1
10Adam Milne3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.95–+2.0
11Anrich Nortje4 overs17 wkts, econ 7.62–+3.2

Team record and squad

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