Heinrich Klaasen
274 runs, SR 152, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.7 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He has 274 runs at a strike rate of 152 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes.
Super Giants
ParBatting+14.0Bowling+14.2Overall+28.2
Sunrisers
ParBatting+9.4Bowling+6.5Overall+16.0
Super Giants bat first
First innings174
Sunrisers short by32 runs
60%Super Giants win
40%Sunrisers win
Sunrisers bat first
First innings160
Super Giants chase in17.5 overs
59%Super Giants win
41%Sunrisers win
First innings
174Super Giants bat first
160Sunrisers bat first
171Par
172Recent average here
Par is the total defended about half the time. The recent average covers 20 innings since Sept 2023.
Chasing here
28%
5 of 18 won chasing over the last three years. All-time 43% (39 of 91). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, IPL, T20Is and Mzansi Super League.
Rain risk
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
37%of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 91).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
LowMediumHigh
4%of games in dry weather at SA20 grounds were shortened (19 of 447).
The match is beyond the forecast range, so pick a past evening at the ground. The win chance and players stay the same.
Strengths and weaknesses
Heinrich KlaasenBatting standout, Super Giants: 274 runs, SR 152 (last 10)
Sunil NarineBowling standout, Super Giants: 14 wkts, econ 4.87 (last 10)
Durban's Super Giants favoured by about 12 runs on paper
Durban's Super Giants are favoured, with a 60% win chance, and they are also the stronger side on paper by about 12 runs. That edge is mostly from bowling: they are 7.7 runs better with the ball and 4.5 runs better with the bat. Their team strength is 28.2 runs against 16 for Sunrisers Eastern Cape.
The runs picture points to a par score of 171, with Durban's Super Giants projected at 174 and Sunrisers Eastern Cape at 160. Games here have been high-scoring recently, averaging 172 in the last 20 innings, and teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18. The sharpest angle is the toss: defending has been the way here, and Durban's Super Giants have the bowling to exploit it.
The case for the Super Giants
- Stronger on paper by about 12 runs, with a bowling edge of 7.7 runs and a batting edge of 4.5 runs.
- Sunil Narine and Noor Ahmad are both rated well above average with the ball, and Heinrich Klaasen is rated 4.7 runs better than an average middle-order batter.
Batting standout
Bowling standouts
Sunil Narine
14 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 175 runs at a strike rate of 160.6.
Noor Ahmad
12 wkts, econ 7.39 in the last 10. Rated +5.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 5.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 7.39 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Eathan Bosch
8 wkts, econ 9.35 in the last 10. Rated −1.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.4 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs. He has 8 wickets at an economy of 9.35 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for the Sunrisers
- Quinton de Kock has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Anrich Nortje has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62.
- Marco Jansen is rated 1.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, and Adam Milne is rated 2 runs better over three overs.
Batting standout
Quinton de Kock
319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes.
Bowling standout
Anrich Nortje
17 wkts, econ 7.62 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 7.62 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Kingsmead
Durban, South Africa · 20 SA20 matches here
- First men's T20
- 2007
- Men's T20s
- 110
Every first innings here
22 of 100reached par (171). Median 159.
Under par Par or more
Recent SA20 first innings average 165; games here have scored about 2% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 158, 2018–2022 151, 2023 onward 170.
100150171200
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15032%10 of 31
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20990%9 of 10
210+100%5 of 5
Weather: dry, like 23 Jan 2025
23 January 2025 at Kingsmead: 25 °C, humidity 84%, wind 14 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are dry, like 23 January 2025 at Kingsmead, with no rain expected during play. Only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The evening stays warm, around 24 °C, with humidity rising from 78% to 90%.
During play: 24.9 °C on average, humidity 84%, wind 14 km/h gusting to 44. Humidity climbs from 78% to 90%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Play 17:30–21:05
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
210.0mm
220.0mm
230.0mm
Weather: wet, like 19 Jan 2022
19 January 2022 at Kingsmead: 23 °C, humidity 87%, wind 21 km/h and 3.5 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are wet, with 3.5 mm of rain during the hours of play, and the wettest spell from 19:00 to 22:00 overlaps the second innings. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring. Lost overs and a rain-rule finish are a real possibility.
During play: 22.7 °C on average, humidity 87%, wind 21 km/h gusting to 47. Humidity climbs from 78% to 94%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Heaviest rain 19:00–22:00, mostly over the second innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down: check how your bookmaker settles runs markets in reduced matches.
Play 17:30–21:05
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.1mm
180.6mm
190.7mm
200.8mm
211.3mm
221.5mm
230.8mm
Weather: hot, like 2 Feb 2022
2 February 2022 at Kingsmead: 27 °C, humidity 79%, wind 21 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 54 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 21 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Kingsmead during these hours.
These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during play. Only 4% of games in similar weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (19 of 447), so rain should not be a factor. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at SA20 grounds. The chasing record here is poor: teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18.
During play: 27.1 °C on average, humidity 79%, wind 21 km/h gusting to 48. Humidity climbs from 72% to 84%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.
Play 17:30–21:05
130.0mm
140.0mm
150.0mm
160.0mm
170.0mm
180.0mm
190.0mm
200.0mm
210.0mm
220.0mm
230.0mm
Durban's Super Giants XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kane Williamson258 runs, SR 130 | +0.9 | – |
| 2 | Sunil Narine4 overs175 runs, SR 161; 14 wkts, econ 4.87 | +0.3 | +8.9 |
| 3 | Jos Buttlerkeeper356 runs, SR 172 | +4.1 | – |
| 4 | Aiden Markram220 runs, SR 138 | +3.2 | – |
| 5 | Heinrich Klaasen274 runs, SR 152 | +4.7 | – |
| 6 | Evan Jones131 runs, SR 151 | +0.9 | – |
| 7 | Eathan Bosch3 overs102 runs, SR 120; 8 wkts, econ 9.35 | −0.4 | −1.4 |
| 8 | David Wiese3 overs14 wkts, econ 7.35 | – | +0.2 |
| 9 | Simon Harmer3 overs11 wkts, econ 6.91 | – | +1.3 |
| 10 | Kwena Maphaka3 overs6 wkts, econ 7.69 | – | −0.6 |
| 11 | Noor Ahmad4 overs12 wkts, econ 7.39 | – | +5.7 |
Sunrisers Eastern Cape XI
| Batting position | Player and last 10 | Bat | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinton de Kockkeeper319 runs, SR 163 | +2.7 | – |
| 2 | Jonny Bairstow250 runs, SR 139 | +2.3 | – |
| 3 | Matthew Breetzke194 runs, SR 128 | +0.8 | – |
| 4 | Jordan Hermann234 runs, SR 139 | +0.4 | – |
| 5 | Tristan Stubbs219 runs, SR 127 | +1.9 | – |
| 6 | James Coles3 overs220 runs, SR 147; 7 wkts, econ 8.58 | +1.4 | −0.9 |
| 7 | Marco Jansen4 overs58 runs, SR 106; 9 wkts, econ 11.25 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Lewis Gregory3 overs5 wkts, econ 9.96 | – | −0.3 |
| 9 | Senuran Muthusamy3 overs11 wkts, econ 7.31 | – | +1.1 |
| 10 | Adam Milne3 overs10 wkts, econ 7.95 | – | +2.0 |
| 11 | Anrich Nortje4 overs17 wkts, econ 7.62 | – | +3.2 |