Tim David
235 runs, SR 145, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.5 runs a game with the bat.
235 runs at a strike rate of 145 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 5.5 runs better than an average middle-order batter.
The sides
| Measure | Hurricanes | Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,222T20s between the XI | 1,181T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.6T20 batting | 25.6T20 batting |
When Hurricanes bat
+0.42 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.55MiddleOvers 7–15+0.54DeathOvers 16–20+0.07
When Strikers bat
−0.22 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.19MiddleOvers 7–15−0.21DeathOvers 16–20−0.74
Hurricanes bat first
First innings172
Strikers chase in17.4 overs
55%Strikers win
45%Hurricanes win
Strikers bat first
First innings162
Hurricanes chase in17 overs
51%Hurricanes win
49%Strikers win
Too close to call, with Hobart stronger on paper by about 17 runs
This is too close to call: Hobart Hurricanes win 48% of simulations, Adelaide Strikers 52%. Hobart are the stronger side on paper, worth about 17 runs more than Adelaide across the XI, with an edge of about 9 runs with the bat and about 8 with the ball. Their projected first-innings total of 172 is the higher of the two, against 162 for Adelaide, around a par score of 170.
Adelaide's top seven average 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Hobart have no left-arm finger spinner in our XI, but Rishad Hossain's leg spin is the closest wicket-taking threat of that kind, and Adelaide's middle order will be tested by it.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15040%2 of 5
150–16950%1 of 2
170–189100%2 of 2
190–209No games
210+No games
The case for Hurricanes
- Team strength of 28.4 runs above average, the stronger of the two XIs, with a batting edge of 8.8 runs and a bowling edge of 7.7.
- Tim David is rated 5.5 runs better than an average middle-order batter and has 235 runs at a strike rate of 145 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Nathan Ellis is rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs and took 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Nathan Ellis
13 wkts, econ 7.56 in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Bowling weakness
Billy Stanlake
10 wkts, econ 8.30 in the last 10. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the ball.
10 wickets at an economy of 8.3 in his last 10 T20 matches, but rated 1 run worse than an average bowler over four overs, and his batting rating is on limited data.
The case for Strikers
- Matt Short is rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener and has 496 runs at a strike rate of 153 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Hassan Ali is rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs and took 24 wickets at an economy of 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Cameron Boyce is rated 2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 8 wickets at an economy of 8.85 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
Matt Short
496 runs, SR 153, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
496 runs at a strike rate of 153 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener with the bat.
Bowling standout
Hassan Ali
24 wkts, econ 8.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the ball.
24 wickets at an economy of 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting weakness
Lloyd Pope
7 runs, SR 30 in the last 10. Rated −0.9 runs a game with the bat.
14 wickets at an economy of 7.89 in his last 10 T20 matches, but rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.