Tim Seifert
447 runs, SR 164, 21 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the bat.
447 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 163.7, with 21 sixes. Rated 3.8 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Sixers | Scorchers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,473T20s between the XI | 1,126T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.4T20 batting | 25.0T20 batting |
When Sixers bat
+0.11 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.75MiddleOvers 7–15−0.27DeathOvers 16–20+0.03
When Scorchers bat
−0.05 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.16MiddleOvers 7–15−0.14DeathOvers 16–20−0.15
Sixers bat first
First innings181
Scorchers short by35 runs
64%Sixers win
36%Scorchers win
Scorchers bat first
First innings184
Sixers chase in18.1 overs
69%Sixers win
31%Scorchers win
Sydney Sixers favoured at home by about 5 runs on paper
Sydney Sixers are favoured, with a 66% win chance against Perth Scorchers. The edge is about 5 runs on paper, and it comes mostly from batting: the Sixers' XI rates 3.6 runs better with the bat and 1.6 runs better with the ball, for a team strength of 17.3 against 12.1. The projected totals are close, 181 if the Sixers bat first and 184 if the Scorchers do, against a par score of 180.
Mitch Marsh is the standout: 476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4, with 33 sixes, and he is rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener. Perth's other top-order batters are rated well below him, and Sam Fanning, rated 1 run worse than an average opener on limited data, is the likeliest weak point in their XI.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15014%3 of 21
150–16943%10 of 23
170–18964%9 of 14
190–20973%8 of 11
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Sixers
- Batting strength of 13.3 runs above average across the XI, led by Steve Smith and Tim Seifert at the top.
- Ben Dwarshuis and Sean Abbott give the attack two proven four-over bowlers rated above average.
- A projected 181 batting first, against a par score of 180.
Batting standouts
Steve Smith
285 runs, SR 161, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the bat.
285 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 161, with 17 sixes. Rated 4.2 runs better than an average opener, and he has 990 runs in 23 innings at this ground.
Bowling standout
Ben Dwarshuis
17 wkts, econ 8.47 in the last 10. Rated +2.4 runs a game with the ball.
17 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.47. Rated 2.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, the best bowling rating in the Sixers' XI.
The case for Scorchers
- Mitch Marsh is rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener, the largest batting impact in either XI.
- Calvin Harrison is rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over three overs, and Jhye Richardson 0.6 better over four.
- A projected 184 batting first, the higher of the two projections.
Batting standout
Mitch Marsh
476 runs, SR 174, 33 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.9 runs a game with the bat.
476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4, with 33 sixes. Rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener, the biggest batting impact in either XI.
Bowling standout
Calvin Harrison
11 wkts, econ 8.92 in the last 10. Rated +2.6 runs a game with the ball.
11 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.92. Rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over three overs.
Batting weakness
Sam Fanning
133 runs, SR 142, 6 sixes in the last 5. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the bat.
133 runs in his last five T20 matches at a strike rate of 141.5, and rated 1 run worse than an average opener on limited data. The softest spot in Perth's top order.