Oddsworth

Adelaide Strikers v Perth Scorchers: Strikers 61% to win

Strikers 61%. Scorchers 39%.

KFC BBL|16, match 37

Saturday 16 January 2027, 3:30pm ACDT (4:00pm AEDT)Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Prediction locks 16th January, 04:30 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481

The sides

MeasureStrikersScorchers
XI caps1,181T20s between the XI1,126T20s between the XI
Top-seven average25.6T20 batting25.0T20 batting

When Strikers bat

−0.06 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.43MiddleOvers 7–15−0.20DeathOvers 16–20−0.42

When Scorchers bat

+0.03 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.37MiddleOvers 7–15−0.13DeathOvers 16–20−0.11

Strikers bat first

First innings176
Scorchers short by32 runs
58%Strikers win
42%Scorchers win

Scorchers bat first

First innings183
Strikers chase in18.1 overs
64%Strikers win
36%Scorchers win

Adelaide Strikers favoured at home in a match level on paper

Adelaide Strikers are favoured, with a 61% win chance against Perth Scorchers, though the two XIs are level on paper: the Strikers' strength total is 11.9 runs against the Scorchers' 12.1. Perth hold the batting edge by 1.8 runs, Adelaide the bowling edge by 1.7, and the projected first-innings totals sit close together, 176 for Adelaide and 183 for Perth against a par score of 182.

Mitch Marsh is the standout: 476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4, with 33 sixes, and he is rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener. Adelaide's attack has the stronger recent numbers, with Hassan Ali's 24 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.03, rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15018%4 of 22
150–16956%15 of 27
170–18975%21 of 28
190–20971%5 of 7
210+88%7 of 8

The case for Strikers

  • Bowling edge of 1.7 runs, with Hassan Ali rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs and Cameron Boyce 2 runs better.
  • Matt Short's 496 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 153.1, rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener.

Batting standout

Matt Short

Matt Short

496 runs, SR 153, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.

496 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 153.1, with 19 sixes, and rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener.

Bowling standout

Hassan Ali

Hassan Ali

24 wkts, econ 8.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the ball.

24 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.03, rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Batting weakness

Lloyd Pope

Lloyd Pope

7 runs, SR 30 in the last 10. Rated −0.9 runs a game with the bat.

14 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 7.89, but rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.

The case for Scorchers

  • Batting edge of 1.8 runs, led by Mitch Marsh's 476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4.
  • Ashton Turner's 277 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 179.9, rated 3.3 runs better than an average batter in his slot.

Batting standouts

Mitch Marsh

Mitch Marsh

476 runs, SR 174, 33 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.9 runs a game with the bat.

476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4, with 33 sixes, and rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener.

Ashton Turner

Ashton Turner

277 runs, SR 180, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the bat.

277 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 179.9, with 11 sixes, and rated 3.3 runs better than an average batter in his slot.

Bowling weakness

Lance Morris

Lance Morris

15 wkts, econ 8.49 in the last 10. Rated −0.7 runs a game with the ball.

15 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.49, and rated 0.7 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs on limited data.

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