Gerhard Erasmus
457 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 39.5, strike rate 80.
The sides
| Measure | Namibia | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 132416th of 20 | 135614th of 20 |
| Home advantage | +130Rating points | –Touring |
| XI caps | 474ODIs between the XI | 670ODIs between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 29.8ODI batting in Namibia | 30.6ODI batting in Namibia |
| Bowling average | 31.9Five main bowlers, ODIs | 41.3Five main bowlers, ODIs |
When Namibia bat
+0.14 an overPowerplayOvers 1–10+0.07MiddleOvers 11–45+0.17DeathOvers 46–50+0.09
When Ireland bat
+0.12 an overPowerplayOvers 1–10−0.47MiddleOvers 11–45+0.30DeathOvers 46–50+0.03
First innings
273Namibia bat first
254Ireland bat first
270Par
235Average here since 2019, 5 innings
335Highest here, South Africa 2026
Namibia favoured at home; 273 projection edges Ireland
Namibia are favoured at 63% to Ireland's 37%, with home advantage behind a projected first-innings 273 to Ireland's 254. Ireland's XI rates 10.2 runs a match above an average Full Member side, slightly better than Namibia's -13.1, so the call rests on home advantage and Namibia's batting. Namibia's top seven average 31.5 against all bowling; Ireland's 31.8.
Namibia's top seven average 22.1 against left-arm pace since 2023, 30% below their 31.5 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by 10%; Ireland have Jai Moondra, in our predicted XI, as a left-arm pace bowler.
What total is safe?
ODIs in Namibia since 2019
First inningsDefended
Under 25033%8 of 24
250–27963%5 of 8
280–30967%2 of 3
310–33967%2 of 3
340+No games
The case for Namibia
- Namibia are at home and are projected to score 273 batting first, while Ireland are projected to score 254.
- Gerhard Erasmus has 457 runs and 4 wickets in his last 10 matches, with an ODI batting average of 39.52.
- JJ Smit has 12 wickets in his last 10 matches and an ODI economy of 4.3.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Jack Brassell
15 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.32.
The case for Ireland
- Ireland's XI rates 10.2 runs a match above an average Full Member side; Namibia's is -13.1.
- Ireland's top seven average 35.9 against left-arm pace since 2023, above the 32.9 Full Member benchmark.
- Harry Tector averages 43.51 in ODIs and has 247 runs in his last 10 matches.
Batting standout
Curtis Campher
421 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 35.4, strike rate 85.
Bowling standout
Gavin Hoey
14 wickets in the last 8 ODIs. Career economy 5.63.