Oddsworth

Durban's Super Giants v Pretoria Capitals: Super Giants 65% to win

Super Giants 65%. Capitals 35%.

SA20|5, match 7

Saturday 23 January 2027, 1:00pm SASTKingsmead, Durban

Prediction locks 23rd January, 10:30 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481

The sides

MeasureSuper GiantsCapitals
XI caps2,829T20s between the XI1,479T20s between the XI
Top-seven average28.2T20 batting26.2T20 batting

When Super Giants bat

+0.40 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.25MiddleOvers 7–15+0.62DeathOvers 16–20+0.20

When Capitals bat

−0.23 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.51MiddleOvers 7–15−0.03DeathOvers 16–20−0.24

Super Giants bat first

First innings185
Capitals short by38 runs
65%Super Giants win
35%Capitals win

Capitals bat first

First innings172
Super Giants chase in17.4 overs
65%Super Giants win
35%Capitals win

Durban's Super Giants favoured by about 16 runs on paper

Durban's Super Giants are the call, with a 65% win chance against Pretoria Capitals. The gap is about 16 runs on paper, and it comes from both sides of the game: their batting is rated 7.7 runs stronger and their bowling 8 runs stronger. Their XI totals 30.1 runs above average, Pretoria's 14.5. Durban's Super Giants should also score more: 185 if they bat first, against 172 for Pretoria Capitals, on a par score of 173.

Durban's Super Giants have the best bowler on either side in Sunil Narine, who took 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and he is rated 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. Pretoria Capitals' attack is the weaker unit, with Lizaad Williams rated 1 run worse than an average bowler over four overs and Gideon Peters 1.3 runs worse on limited data.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15031%10 of 32
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20991%10 of 11
210+100%6 of 6

The case for Super Giants

  • Batting is rated 7.7 runs stronger than Pretoria Capitals, with Jos Buttler and Heinrich Klaasen both in form.
  • Bowling is rated 8 runs stronger, led by Sunil Narine at 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
  • Their XI totals 30.1 runs above average, against 14.5 for Pretoria Capitals.

Batting standouts

Jos Buttler

Jos Buttler

400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.

400 runs at a strike rate of 178.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 25 sixes, and rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter.

Heinrich Klaasen

Heinrich Klaasen

295 runs, SR 165, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.

295 runs at a strike rate of 164.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes, and rated 4.8 runs better than an average batter.

Bowling standout

Sunil Narine

Sunil Narine

12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.8 runs a game with the ball.

12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

The case for Capitals

  • Dewald Brevis is rated 5 runs better than an average batter after 346 runs at a strike rate of 191.2 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Lungi Ngidi is rated 3.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 13 wickets at an economy of 7.66 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Roston Chase is rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 14 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standout

Dewald Brevis

Dewald Brevis

346 runs, SR 191, 32 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.0 runs a game with the bat.

346 runs at a strike rate of 191.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 32 sixes, and rated 5 runs better than an average batter.

Bowling weaknesses

Lizaad Williams

Lizaad Williams

16 wkts, econ 9.42 in the last 10. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the ball.

16 wickets at an economy of 9.42 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1 run worse than an average bowler over four overs.

GP

Gideon Peters

10 wkts, econ 9.35 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.

10 wickets at an economy of 9.35 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs on limited data.

Share