Renegades 42%. Scorchers 58%.
KFC BBL|16, match 1
Saturday 12 December 2026, 2:40pm IST (8:10pm AEDT)MA Chidambaram Stadium, ChennaiNeutral ground: the Renegades are the designated home side
| Measure | Renegades | Scorchers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 880T20s between the XI | 1,126T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.9T20 batting | 25.0T20 batting |
Perth Scorchers are the call, with a 58% win chance against Melbourne Renegades' 42%. The edge is about 10 runs on paper, and it comes from both disciplines: Scorchers are 5.2 runs ahead with the bat and 4.4 with the ball. Their XI totals 12.1 runs better than average against the Renegades' 2.5, with the Renegades' bowling the weaker unit at 2 runs worse than average.
Mitch Marsh is the standout: 476 runs at a strike rate of 174 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener. Against a Renegades attack where Will Sutherland is 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs, Marsh's recent scoring sets the tone at the top for the stronger side.
311 runs, SR 150, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.
311 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, all in the BBL, and rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener. The Renegades' main scoring threat.
6 wkts, econ 9.28 in the last 10. Rated +1.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 219 career T20 wickets at 7.48. The Renegades' most reliable bowling resource.
7 wkts, econ 9.15 in the last 10. Rated −2.0 runs a game with the ball.
Seven wickets at an economy of 9.15 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. His overs are where the Scorchers can profit.
476 runs, SR 174, 33 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.9 runs a game with the bat.
476 runs at a strike rate of 174 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener. The most punishing batter in either XI.
277 runs, SR 180, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the bat.
277 runs at a strike rate of 180 in his last 10 T20 matches, plus six wickets at 6.63. Rated 3.3 runs better than an average middle-order batter.
11 wkts, econ 8.92 in the last 10. Rated +2.6 runs a game with the ball.
11 wickets at an economy of 8.92 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over his expected overs. A wicket-taking option through the middle.