Hurricanes 49%. Heat 51%.
KFC BBL|16, match 4
Thursday 17 December 2026, 7:15pm AEDTBellerive Oval, Hobart
| Measure | Hurricanes | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,222T20s between the XI | 1,119T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.6T20 batting | 24.1T20 batting |
Too close to call: Hobart Hurricanes hold 49% and Brisbane Heat 51%, a split that ignores the 17-run gap in team strength. Hobart are the stronger side on paper, worth about 28 runs above an average XI against Brisbane's 11, and the edge is mostly bowling: 11.9 runs there against 5.3 with the bat. The projected first innings says the same, 180 for Hobart and 169 for Brisbane against a par of 176.
Hobart's top order averages 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Brisbane have no left-arm finger spinner in our XI, so the point is muted, but Matt Kuhnemann's left-arm finger spin outside it is the change that would sharpen it.
235 runs, SR 145, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5.5 runs better than an average middle-order batter, the biggest batting impact in either XI. He has 235 runs at a strike rate of 145 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 16 sixes.
132 runs, SR 147, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5.2 runs better than an average opener. He has 132 runs at a strike rate of 146.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 446 runs in 15 innings at this ground.
13 wkts, econ 7.56 in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 100 BBL wickets for Hobart.
10 wkts, econ 8.77 in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 10 wickets at 8.77 in his last 10 T20 matches and 130 BBL wickets at 7.31.
270 runs, SR 126, 9 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.4 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.4 runs better than an average batter in his slot, the best batting impact in Brisbane's XI. He has 270 runs in his last 10 T20 matches, though that form is three months old.
13 wkts, econ 9.85 in the last 10. Rated −0.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 13 wickets at an economy of 9.85, and his form is eight months old.