Finn Allen
226 runs, SR 150, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 6.5 runs better than an average top-order batter, he has 226 runs at a strike rate of 149.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 10 sixes.
The sides
| Measure | Stars | Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,935T20s between the XI | 1,181T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 25.5T20 batting | 25.6T20 batting |
When Stars bat
+0.41 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.14MiddleOvers 7–15+0.57DeathOvers 16–20+0.43
When Strikers bat
−0.21 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.16MiddleOvers 7–15−0.10DeathOvers 16–20−0.48
Stars bat first
First innings177
Strikers chase in17.5 overs
52%Strikers win
48%Stars win
Strikers bat first
First innings165
Stars chase in17.2 overs
54%Stars win
46%Strikers win
Too close to call; Stars stronger on paper by about 13 runs
This is too close to call, with Melbourne Stars at 51% and Adelaide Strikers at 49%. The Stars are the stronger side on paper, worth about 13 runs more than the Strikers, almost all of it from batting: their top order is rated about 11 runs better and their bowling about 2 runs better. The projected first-innings totals reflect that, with the Stars making 177 batting first and the Strikers 165, against a par score of 173.
The most telling point is the batting depth of the Stars. Their top six all carry positive batting ratings, led by Finn Allen at 6.5 runs better than an average top-order batter, and supported by Glenn Maxwell (3.7), Marcus Stoinis (3.2) and Hilton Cartwright (3.1). That depth gives them an edge in a match where the first-innings par score is 173 and defending totals of 170–189 have been successful 67% of the time here.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%8 of 42
150–16925%5 of 20
170–18967%14 of 21
190–209100%3 of 3
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Stars
- Batting strength: their top six all have positive batting ratings, led by Finn Allen at 6.5 runs better than an average top-order batter.
- Bowling edge: Peter Siddle is rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler, and Mitch Swepson 0.9 runs better.
- Overall strength: their team total is 25 runs above average, compared to 11.9 for the Strikers.
Batting standouts
Marcus Stoinis
259 runs, SR 143, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.2 runs better with the bat and 1.3 runs better with the ball, he has 259 runs at 143.1 and 16 wickets at 8.63 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling standout
Peter Siddle
16 wkts, econ 8.59 in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler, he took 16 wickets at 8.59 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for Strikers
- Matt Short is in strong form, with 496 runs at 153.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, and is rated 3.6 runs better with the bat.
- Hassan Ali leads the attack, rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler, with 24 wickets at 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Cameron Boyce offers control, rated 2 runs better than an average bowler.
Batting standout
Matt Short
496 runs, SR 153, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.6 runs better with the bat, he has 496 runs at 153.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 19 sixes.
Bowling standout
Hassan Ali
24 wkts, econ 8.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler, he took 24 wickets at 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting weakness
Lloyd Pope
7 runs, SR 30 in the last 10. Rated −0.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler, he took 14 wickets at 7.89 in his last 10 T20 matches.