Mitch Marsh
476 runs, SR 174, 33 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener. He has 476 runs at a strike rate of 174.4 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 33 sixes.
The sides
| Measure | Scorchers | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,126T20s between the XI | 2,222T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 25.0T20 batting | 23.6T20 batting |
When Scorchers bat
−0.15 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.25MiddleOvers 7–15−0.23DeathOvers 16–20−0.48
When Hurricanes bat
+0.41 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.68MiddleOvers 7–15+0.45DeathOvers 16–20+0.02
Scorchers bat first
First innings168
Hurricanes chase in17.1 overs
56%Hurricanes win
44%Scorchers win
Hurricanes bat first
First innings175
Scorchers short by39 runs
50%Hurricanes win
50%Scorchers win
Hobart Hurricanes favoured by 16 runs on paper at Perth Stadium
Hobart Hurricanes are the call, though only narrowly: 53% to Perth Scorchers' 47%. The edge is on paper, where Hobart's XI rates 28.4 runs better than an average side against Perth's 12.1, a gap of about 16 runs. Hobart lead both disciplines, batting by 7 runs and bowling by 9.3. Perth's batting holds up at 9.7, but their bowling rates just 2.3, and that is where the ground's par of 172 leaves them short.
Perth's top order faces the best of Hobart's attack. Nathan Ellis is rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Adam Zampa is 4.2 better with 10 wickets in his last 10. Against a Perth batting group built on Mitch Marsh, rated 5.9 better than an average opener, that pair gives Hobart the clearest route to defending or chasing a par total.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15011%2 of 19
150–16964%9 of 14
170–18950%7 of 14
190–20967%2 of 3
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Scorchers
- Mitch Marsh is rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener, and Perth's batting totals 9.7 runs better than an average side.
- Jhye Richardson and Ashton Agar give the attack two proven operators, and Calvin Harrison is rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over three overs.
Batting standout
Batting weakness
Mahli Beardman
0 runs, SR – in the last 10. Rated −0.3 runs a game with the bat.
Rated about 0.2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs on limited data. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 7.97 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Lance Morris
15 wkts, econ 8.49 in the last 10. Rated −0.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated about 0.7 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs on limited data. His last 10 T20 matches came between January 2024 and January 2025, 20 months ago.
The case for Hurricanes
- Hobart's batting rates 16.7 runs better than an average side, led by Tim David at 5.5 and Mitch Owen at 5.2.
- The bowling rates 11.6 runs better than an average side, with Nathan Ellis at 4.9, Adam Zampa at 4.2 and Riley Meredith at 2.4.
Batting standout
Tim David
235 runs, SR 145, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5.5 runs better than an average batter in his slot. He has 235 runs at a strike rate of 145.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 16 sixes.
Bowling standouts
Nathan Ellis
13 wkts, econ 7.56 in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Adam Zampa
10 wkts, econ 8.77 in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 10 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, and his BBL economy is 7.31.