Steve Smith
285 runs, SR 161, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the bat.
Smith has 285 runs at a strike rate of 161 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 4.2 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Sixers | Renegades |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,473T20s between the XI | 880T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.4T20 batting | 23.9T20 batting |
When Sixers bat
+0.19 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.42MiddleOvers 7–15−0.01DeathOvers 16–20+0.28
When Renegades bat
−0.35 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.10MiddleOvers 7–15−0.54DeathOvers 16–20−0.33
Sixers bat first
First innings186
Renegades short by40 runs
71%Sixers win
29%Renegades win
Renegades bat first
First innings172
Sixers chase in17.3 overs
75%Sixers win
25%Renegades win
Sydney Sixers favoured by about 15 runs, stronger on paper
Sydney Sixers are favoured, with a win chance of 73% and a team strength about 15 runs clear of Melbourne Renegades. The Sixers' edge comes from both batting and bowling: their batters are rated 8.8 runs better than the Renegades' and their bowlers 6 runs better. The projected first-innings totals reflect that: 186 for the Sixers, 172 for the Renegades, against a par score of 180.
Melbourne Renegades' top order averages 24 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a fifth below their 30 against all bowling, where Full Member top orders drop by a tenth. The Sixers have no left-arm finger spinner in our XI, but Sean Abbott, Ben Dwarshuis and Jack Edwards give them right-arm pace options that the Renegades' top order averages 25 against, a sixth below their 30 against all bowling.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15014%3 of 21
150–16943%10 of 23
170–18964%9 of 14
190–20973%8 of 11
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Sixers
- Batting strength: their batters are rated 8.8 runs better than the Renegades'.
- Bowling strength: their bowlers are rated 6 runs better than the Renegades'.
- Steve Smith and Tim Seifert provide a strong opening pair, both rated above average.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Ben Dwarshuis
17 wkts, econ 8.47 in the last 10. Rated +2.4 runs a game with the ball.
Dwarshuis has 17 wickets at an economy of 8.47 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 2.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
The case for Renegades
- Josh Brown offers firepower at the top with 311 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Jason Behrendorff is rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
Josh Brown
311 runs, SR 150, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.
Brown has 311 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener.
Bowling standout
Jason Behrendorff
6 wkts, econ 9.28 in the last 10. Rated +1.8 runs a game with the ball.
Behrendorff is rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, despite an economy of 9.28 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weaknesses
Will Sutherland
7 wkts, econ 9.15 in the last 10. Rated −2.0 runs a game with the ball.
Sutherland has 7 wickets at an economy of 9.15 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.
Tom Rogers
9 wkts, econ 10.32 in the last 10. Rated −0.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rogers has 9 wickets at an economy of 10.32 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.