Josh Brown
311 runs, SR 150, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.
Brown has 311 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 150.2, with 20 sixes. He is rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Renegades | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 880T20s between the XI | 2,222T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.9T20 batting | 23.6T20 batting |
When Renegades bat
−0.45 an overPowerplayOvers 1–60.00MiddleOvers 7–15−0.63DeathOvers 16–20−0.66
When Hurricanes bat
+0.49 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.35MiddleOvers 7–15+0.71DeathOvers 16–20+0.26
Renegades bat first
First innings164
Hurricanes chase in17 overs
63%Hurricanes win
37%Renegades win
Hurricanes bat first
First innings189
Renegades short by47 runs
58%Hurricanes win
42%Renegades win
Hobart Hurricanes favoured by about 26 runs on paper
Hobart Hurricanes are favoured, with a 61% win chance, and they are also the stronger side on paper by about 26 runs. The batting edge is theirs by 12.2 runs and the bowling edge by 13.7. Their projected first-innings score of 189 is 10 above the par score of 179, while Melbourne Renegades project 164, 15 below par. The Renegades' bowling rates 2 runs worse than average, and their batting is only 4.5 runs better, so they need a strong performance to close the gap.
Melbourne Renegades' top seven have a clear problem against left-arm finger spin: their average against that type is 28, a third below their 42 against all bowling, while Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Hobart Hurricanes have no left-arm finger spinner in our XI, but Rishad Hossain, a leg-spinner, is in our XI and offers a different threat.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 150No games
150–169No games
170–189100%1 of 1
190–209No games
210+100%1 of 1
The case for Renegades
- Batting projects 4.5 runs better than average, with Josh Brown (3.1) and Jake Fraser-McGurk (2.4) the main contributors.
- Jason Behrendorff is rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
Bowling weakness
Will Sutherland
7 wkts, econ 9.15 in the last 10. Rated −2.0 runs a game with the ball.
Sutherland took 7 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 9.15. He is rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.
The case for Hurricanes
- Batting projects 16.7 runs better than average, led by Tim David (5.5) and Mitch Owen (5.2).
- Bowling projects 11.6 runs better than average, with Nathan Ellis (4.9) and Adam Zampa (4.2) the standouts.
Batting standout
Tim David
235 runs, SR 145, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.5 runs a game with the bat.
David has 235 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 145.1, with 16 sixes. He is rated 5.5 runs better than an average batter.
Bowling standouts
Nathan Ellis
13 wkts, econ 7.56 in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the ball.
Ellis took 13 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 7.56. He is rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Adam Zampa
10 wkts, econ 8.77 in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the ball.
Zampa took 10 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.77. He is rated 4.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.