Mitch Marsh
476 runs, SR 174, 33 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.9 runs a game with the bat.
476 runs at a strike rate of 174 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Scorchers | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,126T20s between the XI | 1,773T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 25.0T20 batting | 23.7T20 batting |
When Scorchers bat
+0.05 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.29MiddleOvers 7–15−0.01DeathOvers 16–20−0.11
When Thunder bat
−0.22 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.06MiddleOvers 7–15−0.51DeathOvers 16–20+0.10
Scorchers bat first
First innings174
Thunder short by33 runs
51%Scorchers win
49%Thunder win
Thunder bat first
First innings168
Scorchers chase in17.3 overs
56%Scorchers win
44%Thunder win
Perth Scorchers favoured by about 5 runs, stronger on paper
Perth Scorchers are favoured, with a win chance of 54% against Sydney Thunder's 46%. The edge is about 5 runs on paper, coming from both batting and bowling: Perth's XI is 2.8 runs better with the bat and 2.2 runs better with the ball. Perth's team strength is 12.1 runs above average, Thunder's 7.0.
Thunder's top order has a clear problem against left-arm finger spin. Their top seven score at a rate well below their overall batting, and Perth have Ashton Agar, a left-arm finger spinner, in our XI. That matchup could decide the game.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15011%2 of 19
150–16964%9 of 14
170–18950%7 of 14
190–20967%2 of 3
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Scorchers
- Batting strength of 9.7 runs above average, led by Mitch Marsh's rating of 5.9 runs better than an average opener.
- Bowling strength of 2.3 runs above average, with Calvin Harrison rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
Bowling standouts
Calvin Harrison
11 wkts, econ 8.92 in the last 10. Rated +2.6 runs a game with the ball.
11 wickets at an economy of 8.92 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Ashton Agar
7 wkts, econ 8.50 in the last 10. Rated +0.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 0.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, and his left-arm finger spin could trouble Thunder's top order.
The case for Thunder
- Batting strength of 6.9 runs above average, with David Warner rated 3.8 runs better than an average top-order batter.
- Bowling strength of 0.1 runs above average, with Chris Green rated 2.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
David Warner
515 runs, SR 149, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the bat.
515 runs at a strike rate of 149 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.8 runs better than an average top-order batter.
Bowling weakness
Nathan McAndrew
15 wkts, econ 10.63 in the last 10. Rated −1.6 runs a game with the ball.
15 wickets but an economy of 10.63 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.6 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.