Oddsworth

Sydney Sixers v Adelaide Strikers: Sixers 57% to win

Sixers 57%. Strikers 43%.

KFC BBL|16, match 22

Sunday 3 January 2027, 7:15pm AEDTManuka Oval, Canberra

Prediction locks 3rd January, 07:45 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 558 of 1019

The sides

MeasureSixersStrikers
XI caps1,473T20s between the XI1,181T20s between the XI
Top-seven average26.4T20 batting25.6T20 batting

When Sixers bat

+0.12 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.62MiddleOvers 7–15−0.19DeathOvers 16–20+0.08

When Strikers bat

−0.13 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.09MiddleOvers 7–15−0.12DeathOvers 16–20−0.41

Sixers bat first

First innings176
Strikers short by34 runs
54%Sixers win
46%Strikers win

Strikers bat first

First innings173
Sixers chase in17.4 overs
60%Sixers win
40%Strikers win

Sydney Sixers favoured by about 5 runs, all from batting

Sydney Sixers are favoured, with a win chance of 57% against Adelaide Strikers' 43%. The edge is about 5 runs on paper, and it comes entirely from batting: Sixers' projected batting strength is 13.3 runs better than an average side, against Strikers' 7.9, while the bowling units are rated level at 4 runs better than average each. The projected first-innings totals reflect that gap: Sixers 176, Strikers 173, with a par score of 175.

Strikers' top order averages 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. That is the most telling point, and it matters because Sixers have a left-arm finger spinner in their XI.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 1500%0 of 9
150–16938%3 of 8
170–18950%3 of 6
190–209100%3 of 3
210+100%1 of 1

The case for Sixers

  • Batting strength of 13.3 runs better than an average side, the larger share of their 17.3 total.
  • Steve Smith and Tim Seifert are both rated above average and in form: 285 runs at 161 and 447 runs at 163.7 in their last 10 T20 matches.
  • Ben Dwarshuis and Sean Abbott give the bowling a solid base, rated 2.4 and 1.5 runs better than average respectively.

Batting standouts

Steve Smith

Steve Smith

285 runs, SR 161, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the bat.

285 runs at a strike rate of 161 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.2 runs better than an average opener. He has 99 runs from 68 balls in three innings at this ground.

Tim Seifert

Tim Seifert

447 runs, SR 164, 21 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the bat.

447 runs at a strike rate of 163.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 21 sixes. Rated 3.8 runs better than an average opener.

Bowling standout

Ben Dwarshuis

Ben Dwarshuis

17 wkts, econ 8.47 in the last 10. Rated +2.4 runs a game with the ball.

17 wickets at an economy of 8.47 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Bowling weakness

Fergus O'Neill

Fergus O'Neill

7 wkts, econ 7.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs, on limited data. He took 7 wickets at an economy of 7.84 in his last 10 BBL matches.

The case for Strikers

  • Hassan Ali is the standout bowler: 24 wickets at 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, rated 3.3 runs better than average.
  • Matt Short and Mark Chapman are in form, with 496 runs at 153.1 and 289 runs at 149 in their last 10 T20 matches.
  • Cameron Boyce offers control, rated 2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Batting standout

Matt Short

Matt Short

496 runs, SR 153, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.

496 runs at a strike rate of 153.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 19 sixes. Rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener.

Bowling standout

Hassan Ali

Hassan Ali

24 wkts, econ 8.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the ball.

24 wickets at an economy of 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Share