Mitch Marsh
476 runs, SR 174, 33 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.9 runs a game with the bat.
476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4, with 33 sixes. Rated 5.9 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Scorchers | Renegades |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,126T20s between the XI | 880T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 25.0T20 batting | 23.9T20 batting |
When Scorchers bat
+0.09 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.17MiddleOvers 7–15+0.04DeathOvers 16–20+0.09
When Renegades bat
−0.29 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.24MiddleOvers 7–15−0.61DeathOvers 16–20−0.34
Scorchers bat first
First innings179
Renegades short by43 runs
58%Scorchers win
42%Renegades win
Renegades bat first
First innings162
Scorchers chase in16.5 overs
63%Scorchers win
37%Renegades win
Perth Scorchers favoured by about 10 runs at home
Perth Scorchers are favoured, with a win chance of 61% against Melbourne Renegades' 39%. The edge is about 10 runs on paper, built from both batting and bowling: Perth's XI rates 12.1 runs better than an average side, the Renegades 2.5. Perth's batting is 5.2 runs stronger and their bowling 4.4 runs stronger, so the Renegades need to close a gap on both fronts.
Perth's top order faces a Renegades attack without a standout type to exploit them, while the Renegades' batting has to contend with Perth's varied bowling. The most telling point is the Renegades' bowling weakness: Will Sutherland is rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs, and his last 10 T20 matches brought 7 wickets at an economy of 9.15. Perth's batting, led by Mitch Marsh's 476 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 174.4, can punish that.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15011%2 of 19
150–16964%9 of 14
170–18950%7 of 14
190–20967%2 of 3
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Scorchers
- Batting unit rates 9.7 runs better than an average side, with Mitch Marsh, Cooper Connolly and Ashton Turner all positive.
- Bowling unit rates 2.3 runs better than an average side, led by Calvin Harrison's 2.6-run edge.
Batting standouts
Cooper Connolly
314 runs, SR 158, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.3 runs a game with the bat.
314 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 157.8, with 20 sixes. Rated 2.3 runs better than an average batter.
Bowling standout
Calvin Harrison
11 wkts, econ 8.92 in the last 10. Rated +2.6 runs a game with the ball.
11 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, economy 8.92. Rated 2.6 runs better than an average bowler over his expected overs.
The case for Renegades
- Josh Brown offers a strong top-order start: 311 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 150.2.
- Jason Behrendorff provides a proven bowling option, rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
Josh Brown
311 runs, SR 150, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.
311 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 150.2, with 20 sixes. Rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener.
Bowling weaknesses
Will Sutherland
7 wkts, econ 9.15 in the last 10. Rated −2.0 runs a game with the ball.
7 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 9.15. Rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.
Tom Rogers
9 wkts, econ 10.32 in the last 10. Rated −0.8 runs a game with the ball.
9 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 10.32. Rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.