Finn Allen
226 runs, SR 150, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 6.5 runs better than an average batter, he has 226 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The sides
| Measure | Stars | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,935T20s between the XI | 2,222T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 25.5T20 batting | 23.6T20 batting |
When Stars bat
+0.24 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.02MiddleOvers 7–15+0.48DeathOvers 16–20+0.06
When Hurricanes bat
+0.26 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.09MiddleOvers 7–15+0.55DeathOvers 16–20−0.04
Stars bat first
First innings172
Hurricanes short by35 runs
51%Stars win
49%Hurricanes win
Hurricanes bat first
First innings174
Stars chase in17.4 overs
57%Stars win
43%Hurricanes win
Melbourne Stars favoured by a whisker, but Hobart stronger on paper
Melbourne Stars are favoured, with a win chance of 54% against Hobart Hurricanes' 46%, despite Hobart being the stronger side on paper by about 3 runs. That edge comes entirely from bowling: Hobart's attack is rated 5.4 runs better than Melbourne's, while Melbourne's batting is rated 2 runs better. The teams are separated by just 3.4 runs in total strength, so the call is tight.
Melbourne's top order faces a stern test against Hobart's varied attack, but the standout individual battle is Finn Allen, who has 226 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches, against a Hobart bowling unit led by Nathan Ellis, who has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%8 of 42
150–16925%5 of 20
170–18967%14 of 21
190–209100%3 of 3
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Stars
- Batting strength of 18.7 runs versus average, 2 runs better than Hobart's.
- Finn Allen is rated 6.5 runs better than an average batter and has 226 runs at a strike rate of 150 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standouts
Marcus Stoinis
259 runs, SR 143, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.2 runs better with the bat and 1.3 with the ball, he has 259 runs and 16 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting weakness
Tom Rogers
186 runs, SR 122, 5 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.2 runs worse than an average opener, he has 186 runs at a strike rate of 122 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for Hurricanes
- Bowling strength of 11.6 runs versus average, 5.4 runs better than Melbourne's.
- Nathan Ellis is rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler and has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling standouts
Nathan Ellis
13 wkts, econ 7.56 in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler, he has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Adam Zampa
10 wkts, econ 8.77 in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.2 runs better than an average bowler, he has 10 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Billy Stanlake
10 wkts, econ 8.30 in the last 10. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1 run worse than an average bowler, he has 10 wickets at an economy of 8.3 in his last 10 T20 matches.