Josh Brown
311 runs, SR 150, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.
311 runs at a strike rate of 150.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Renegades | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 880T20s between the XI | 1,935T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.9T20 batting | 25.5T20 batting |
When Renegades bat
−0.44 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.35MiddleOvers 7–15−0.52DeathOvers 16–20−0.40
When Stars bat
+0.48 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.06MiddleOvers 7–15+0.75DeathOvers 16–20+0.63
Renegades bat first
First innings161
Stars chase in17 overs
68%Stars win
32%Renegades win
Stars bat first
First innings181
Renegades short by42 runs
63%Stars win
38%Renegades win
Stars favoured by about 22 runs, powered by batting
Melbourne Stars are favoured, with a 65% win chance, and they are also the stronger side on paper by about 22 runs. That gap is mostly batting: their projected XI scores 14.2 runs more than the Renegades' with the bat, and their bowling edge is a further 8.2. The Stars' team strength is 25 runs above average, against 2.5 for the Renegades, whose bowling unit rates 2 runs worse than average.
Finn Allen is the standout: 226 runs at a strike rate of 149.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, and a batting rating 6.5 runs better than an average top-order player. The Renegades' attack has no obvious counter, with Will Sutherland rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%8 of 42
150–16925%5 of 20
170–18967%14 of 21
190–209100%3 of 3
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Renegades
- Josh Brown has 311 runs at a strike rate of 150.2 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener.
- Jason Behrendorff is rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, a reliable presence in the attack.
Batting standout
Bowling weakness
Will Sutherland
7 wkts, econ 9.15 in the last 10. Rated −2.0 runs a game with the ball.
7 wickets at an economy of 9.15 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.
The case for Stars
- Batting strength of 18.7 runs above average, led by Finn Allen's rating 6.5 runs better than an average top-order player.
- Bowling strength of 6.2 runs above average, with Peter Siddle rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standouts
Finn Allen
226 runs, SR 150, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.5 runs a game with the bat.
226 runs at a strike rate of 149.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 6.5 runs better than an average top-order batter.
Marcus Stoinis
259 runs, SR 143, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the bat.
259 runs at a strike rate of 143.1 and 16 wickets at 8.63 in his last 10 T20 matches, rated 3.2 runs better with the bat and 1.3 with the ball.
Bowling standout
Peter Siddle
16 wkts, econ 8.59 in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the ball.
16 wickets at an economy of 8.59 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.