Tim David
235 runs, SR 145, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.5 runs a game with the bat.
235 runs at a strike rate of 145 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 16 sixes. Rated 5.5 runs better than an average batter in his slot.
The sides
| Measure | Hurricanes | Sixers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,222T20s between the XI | 1,473T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.6T20 batting | 26.4T20 batting |
When Hurricanes bat
+0.35 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.34MiddleOvers 7–15+0.53DeathOvers 16–20+0.03
When Sixers bat
−0.05 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.50MiddleOvers 7–15−0.28DeathOvers 16–20−0.30
Hurricanes bat first
First innings181
Sixers chase in18 overs
59%Sixers win
41%Hurricanes win
Sixers bat first
First innings173
Hurricanes short by33 runs
53%Sixers win
47%Hurricanes win
Sixers favoured despite Hurricanes' paper edge at Bellerive
Sydney Sixers are favoured, with a 56% win chance against Hobart Hurricanes' 44%, even though the Hurricanes are stronger on paper by about 11 runs. That edge is mostly bowling: Hobart's attack is rated about 8 runs better than the Sixers', and their batting about 3 runs better. The projected first-innings totals point the same way for the home side, 181 against 173, around a par score of 176.
Hobart's top order face a Sixers attack built on right-arm pace, and the standout is Nathan Ellis at the other end of the argument: 13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches, rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%3 of 16
150–16948%13 of 27
170–18964%18 of 28
190–20967%4 of 6
210+100%4 of 4
The case for Hurricanes
- Bowling is the core of their edge: rated about 8 runs better than the Sixers' attack, with Ellis and Zampa both positive.
- Batting is rated about 3 runs better than the Sixers', with David, Owen and Webster all above average.
Batting standouts
Mitch Owen
132 runs, SR 147, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.2 runs a game with the bat.
132 runs at a strike rate of 146.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 10 sixes. Rated 5.2 runs better than an average opener.
Bowling standout
Nathan Ellis
13 wkts, econ 7.56 in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets at an economy of 7.56 in his last 10 T20 matches. Rated 4.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
The case for Sixers
- Their top three carry the batting: Seifert, Smith and Philippe are all rated above average.
- Dwarshuis and Abbott give them two proven pace options, Dwarshuis rated 2.4 runs better than average over four overs.
Batting standouts
Tim Seifert
447 runs, SR 164, 21 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the bat.
447 runs at a strike rate of 163.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 21 sixes. Rated 3.8 runs better than an average opener.
Steve Smith
285 runs, SR 161, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the bat.
285 runs at a strike rate of 161 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 17 sixes. Rated 4.2 runs better than an average opener.
Bowling weakness
Fergus O'Neill
7 wkts, econ 7.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.
Seven wickets at an economy of 7.84 in his last 10 T20 matches, though that window runs to December 2025. Rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs, on limited data.