Anrich Nortje
19 wkts, econ 7.15 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler, he has 19 wickets at an economy of 7.15 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The sides
| Measure | Sunrisers | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,986T20s between the XI | 1,479T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 29.8T20 batting | 26.2T20 batting |
When Sunrisers bat
+0.16 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.32MiddleOvers 7–15+0.23DeathOvers 16–20−0.15
When Capitals bat
−0.09 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.12MiddleOvers 7–15+0.06DeathOvers 16–20−0.33
Sunrisers bat first
First innings167
Capitals short by32 runs
66%Sunrisers win
34%Capitals win
Capitals bat first
First innings170
Sunrisers chase in17.4 overs
66%Sunrisers win
34%Capitals win
Sunrisers Eastern Cape favoured by about 5 runs in season opener
Sunrisers Eastern Cape are favoured, with a win chance of 66% and a paper strength about 5 runs clear of Pretoria Capitals. The edge is mostly with the ball: their bowling rates 3.3 runs better, while the batting gap is only 1.4. Both projected first-innings totals sit near par: Sunrisers 167, Capitals 170, against a par score of 162.
Pretoria Capitals' top order averages 20 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 25 against all bowling, while Full Member top orders drop by a tenth. Sunrisers have left-arm finger spin in their XI through Senuran Muthusamy, whose 11 wickets at 7.31 an over in his last 10 T20 matches make him the obvious bowler to test that record.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15021%8 of 39
150–16968%23 of 34
170–18977%10 of 13
190–209100%2 of 2
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Sunrisers
- Bowling strength of 9.0 runs above average, led by Anrich Nortje (3.2), Adam Milne (2.8) and Marco Jansen (1.9).
- Batting depth: Quinton de Kock (2.8) and Jonny Bairstow (2.6) head a line-up with a total batting strength of 10.2 runs above average.
Bowling standouts
Adam Milne
9 wkts, econ 8.60 in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.8 runs better than an average bowler, he has 9 wickets at an economy of 8.6 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for Capitals
- Dewald Brevis is the standout batter at 5.0 runs above average, with 346 runs at a strike rate of 191 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Lungi Ngidi leads the attack at 3.9 runs above average, with 13 wickets at 7.66 an over in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting standout
Dewald Brevis
346 runs, SR 191, 32 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.0 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5.0 runs better than an average batter, he has 346 runs at a strike rate of 191 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 32 sixes.
Bowling standout
Lungi Ngidi
13 wkts, econ 7.66 in the last 10. Rated +3.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.9 runs better than an average bowler, he has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.66 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Gideon Peters
10 wkts, econ 9.35 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler on limited data, he has 10 wickets at an economy of 9.35 in his last 10 T20 matches.