Capitals 36%. Super Giants 64%.
SA20|5, match 3
Tuesday 19 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTSuperSport Park, Centurion
| Measure | Capitals | Super Giants |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,479T20s between the XI | 2,829T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.2T20 batting | 28.2T20 batting |
Durban's Super Giants are the call, about 16 runs stronger on paper than Pretoria Capitals and with the edge in both batting and bowling. Their XI totals 30.1 runs above average against Pretoria's 14.5, a gap built on 16.4 batting runs and 13.7 bowling runs. The win chances lean the same way at 64%, and the projected first-innings split has Super Giants reaching 198 against 185 for the Capitals, with the par score here 185.
Sunil Narine is the telling figure in this match. He is rated 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over his expected four overs, the largest bowling rating on either side, and his last 10 T20 matches brought 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87. Pretoria's attack has no comparable counterweight: Lungi Ngidi's 3.9 bowling rating is their best, with Roston Chase on 2.9 and Keshav Maharaj on 1.1.
346 runs, SR 191, 32 sixes in the last 10. Rated +5.0 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 5 runs better than an average batter, he has 346 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 191.2, with 32 sixes, and 407 runs in 12 innings at this ground.
380 runs, SR 148, 24 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.7 runs better than an average opener, he has 380 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 148.4, with 24 sixes.
16 wkts, econ 9.42 in the last 10. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1 run worse than an average bowler over four overs, he took 16 wickets at an economy of 9.42 in his last 10 T20 matches, and has conceded 287 in 32.5 overs here.
400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter, he has 400 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 178.6, with 25 sixes, and 166 runs in three innings here.
295 runs, SR 165, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.8 runs better than an average batter, he has 295 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 164.8, with 15 sixes, and 629 runs in 23 innings at this ground.
12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, he took 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, all in the CPL.