David Warner
515 runs, SR 149, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.8 runs a game with the bat.
515 runs at a strike rate of 149 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.8 runs better than an average batter in his slot.
The sides
| Measure | Thunder | Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,773T20s between the XI | 1,181T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.7T20 batting | 25.6T20 batting |
When Thunder bat
−0.21 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.19MiddleOvers 7–15−0.43DeathOvers 16–20+0.15
When Strikers bat
−0.02 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.22MiddleOvers 7–150.00DeathOvers 16–20−0.36
Thunder bat first
First innings171
Strikers chase in17.5 overs
66%Strikers win
34%Thunder win
Strikers bat first
First innings173
Thunder short by29 runs
60%Strikers win
40%Thunder win
Adelaide Strikers favoured by about 5 runs, mainly through bowling
Adelaide Strikers are favoured, with a win chance of 63% against Sydney Thunder's 37%. They are also the stronger side on paper, about 5 runs clear, and the edge is mostly in the bowling: their attack is rated 3.9 runs better than Thunder's, with the batting only 1 run ahead. The projected first-innings totals are close, 173 for Strikers and 171 for Thunder, against a par score of 175 that is defended about half the time.
Thunder's top seven average 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Lloyd Pope, a leg-spinner, is in the Strikers' XI, but the left-arm finger spin of Matt Short, who is also in their XI, is the type that troubles Thunder.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 1500%0 of 9
150–16938%3 of 8
170–18950%3 of 6
190–209100%3 of 3
210+100%1 of 1
The case for Thunder
- David Warner is rated 3.8 runs better than an average batter and has 515 runs at a strike rate of 149 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Their batting unit is rated 6.9 runs better than average, with Sam Billings and Chris Green also positive.
Batting standout
Bowling weaknesses
Nathan McAndrew
15 wkts, econ 10.63 in the last 10. Rated −1.6 runs a game with the ball.
15 wickets but an economy of 10.63 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.6 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.
Ryan Hadley
2 wkts, econ 12.79 in the last 4. Rated −3.5 runs a game with the ball.
2 wickets at an economy of 12.79 in his last 4 T20 matches, and rated 3.5 runs worse than an average bowler, though on limited data.
The case for Strikers
- Their bowling is rated 4 runs better than average, led by Hassan Ali at 3.3 runs better and Cameron Boyce at 2 runs better.
- Matt Short and Mark Chapman give the batting two in-form options, rated 3.6 and 2.9 runs better than average respectively.
Batting standout
Matt Short
496 runs, SR 153, 19 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
496 runs at a strike rate of 153 in his last 10 T20 matches, plus 5 wickets, and rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener with the bat.
Bowling standout
Hassan Ali
24 wkts, econ 8.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.3 runs a game with the ball.
24 wickets at an economy of 8.03 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.