Josh Brown
311 runs, SR 150, 20 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.1 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.1 runs better than an average opener. He has 311 runs at a strike rate of 150.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 20 sixes.
The sides
| Measure | Renegades | Sixers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 880T20s between the XI | 1,473T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 23.9T20 batting | 26.4T20 batting |
When Renegades bat
−0.35 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.10MiddleOvers 7–15−0.54DeathOvers 16–20−0.33
When Sixers bat
+0.19 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.42MiddleOvers 7–15−0.01DeathOvers 16–20+0.28
Renegades bat first
First innings165
Sixers chase in17 overs
73%Sixers win
27%Renegades win
Sixers bat first
First innings177
Renegades short by39 runs
69%Sixers win
31%Renegades win
Sixers favoured by about 15 runs on stronger batting and bowling
Sydney Sixers are the call at the MCG, favoured by about 15 runs on paper. Their XI rates 17.3 runs better than average against the Renegades' 2.5, with the batting edge worth 8.8 runs and the bowling edge 6. The projected first innings splits 177 for the Sixers and 165 for the Renegades against a par score of 173, and the win chances sit at 71% to 29%.
Melbourne Renegades' top order has a clear problem against left-arm finger spin, and the Sixers have Joel Davies in our XI. The Renegades' batters rate modestly against all bowling, and Davies brings 12 wickets at an economy of 6.77 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 15 runs from four overs here. That contrast is the most telling point in the match.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%8 of 42
150–16925%5 of 20
170–18967%14 of 21
190–209100%3 of 3
210+100%3 of 3
The case for Renegades
- Josh Brown rates 3.1 runs better than an average opener and has 311 runs in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Jason Behrendorff rates 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs and has 219 career T20 wickets.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Jason Behrendorff
6 wkts, econ 9.28 in the last 10. Rated +1.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 9.28 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Will Sutherland
7 wkts, econ 9.15 in the last 10. Rated −2.0 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 7 wickets at an economy of 9.15 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for Sixers
- Batting rates 13.3 runs better than average, led by Steve Smith at 4.2 and Tim Seifert at 3.8.
- Bowling rates 4 runs better than average, with Ben Dwarshuis at 2.4 and Sean Abbott at 1.5 over four overs.
- Joel Davies offers left-arm finger spin, a type the Renegades' top order struggles against.
Batting standout
Steve Smith
285 runs, SR 161, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.2 runs better than an average batter. He has 285 runs at a strike rate of 161 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 17 sixes.
Bowling standout
Ben Dwarshuis
17 wkts, econ 8.47 in the last 10. Rated +2.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 17 wickets at an economy of 8.47 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Fergus O'Neill
7 wkts, econ 7.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs on limited data. He has 7 wickets at an economy of 7.84 in his last 10 T20 matches.