Castle Rockers 151-3; our pre-match call 55%. Wolves 150-5; our pre-match call 45%.
ETPL|1, final
Castle Rockers won by 7 wickets
Sunday 20 September 2026, 2:15pm ISTThe Village, Malahide, DublinNeutral ground: the Castle Rockers are the designated home side
| Measure | Castle Rockers | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,789T20s between the XI | 2,565T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.2T20 batting | 25.3T20 batting |
Edinburgh Castle Rockers are favoured, with a win chance of 55 per cent and a team strength about 6 runs better than Belfast Wolves. The edge comes mostly from bowling: Edinburgh's attack is rated 3 runs better than average, while Belfast's is 0.6 runs worse. Edinburgh also hold a small batting advantage of about 2 runs.
The runs picture points to a par score of 169, with the first innings projected at 165. Chasing has been the better option here: 7 of the last 11 games at this ground were won by the side batting second. The sharpest angle is Edinburgh's bowling against a Belfast middle order that has shown form, but the overall strength gap and chase-friendly conditions give Edinburgh the edge.
11 wkts, econ 7.15 in the last 10. Rated +3.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 11 wickets at an economy of 7.15, and he also offers batting depth with 150 runs at a strike rate of 145.6 in that window.
16 wkts, econ 7.51 in the last 10. Rated +1.6 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.6 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He took 16 wickets at an economy of 7.51 in his last 10 T20 matches, a strong recent record.
283 runs, SR 163, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.4 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.4 runs better than an average batter. He has 283 runs at a strike rate of 162.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, all in the European T20 Premier League, with 17 sixes.
261 runs, SR 156, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.7 runs better than an average batter. He scored 261 runs at a strike rate of 156.3 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 16 sixes.
12 wkts, econ 8.11 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 12 wickets but at an economy of 8.11, and Belfast's bowling unit is rated 0.6 runs worse than average overall.