Finn Allen
359 runs in the last 10 T20Is. Career average 28.7, strike rate 170.
The sides
| Measure | New Zealand | India |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 19448th of 101 | 23503rd of 101 |
| Home advantage | +150Rating points | –Touring |
| XI caps | 689T20Is between the XI | 597T20Is between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.4T20I batting in New Zealand | 29.1T20I batting in New Zealand |
| Bowling average | 25.7Five main bowlers, T20Is | 27.0Five main bowlers, T20Is |
When New Zealand bat
+0.45 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.30MiddleOvers 7–15+0.85DeathOvers 16–20−0.08
When India bat
+1.14 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+1.85MiddleOvers 7–15+0.90DeathOvers 16–20+0.72
First innings
167New Zealand bat first
197India bat first
172Par
179Average here since 2019, 8 innings
219Highest here, New Zealand 2019
India favoured at 66% on stronger batting XI
India are favoured, with a 66% win chance, because their XI rates 49.7 runs a match above an average Full Member side to New Zealand's 34.6. The batting gap is the core of it: India's XI rates 41.8 with the bat against 25.9 for New Zealand, while the bowling figures are close, 7.8 against 8.7. India are projected to make 197 if they bat first; New Zealand 167, against a par of 172.
New Zealand's top seven average 38.2 against wrist spin since 2023, 22% above their 31.4 against all bowling, where the benchmark for Full Member top sevens is 4% below its all-bowling average, and India's wrist spinners Varun Chakaravarthy and Kuldeep Yadav are both outside our predicted XI.
What total is safe?
T20Is in New Zealand since 2019
First inningsDefended
Under 1508%1 of 13
150–16946%6 of 13
170–18973%11 of 15
190–20975%6 of 8
210+92%11 of 12
The case for New Zealand
- New Zealand's XI rates 8.7 runs a match above an average Full Member side with the ball, slightly ahead of India's 7.8.
- Finn Allen has 359 runs in his last 10 T20Is at a strike rate of 170.4, and Tim Seifert has 357 in the same span.
- Mitchell Santner has 12 wickets in his last 10 T20Is, and Lockie Ferguson has nine.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Mitchell Santner
12 wickets in the last 10 T20Is. Career economy 7.18.
The case for India
- India's XI rates 49.7 runs a match above an average Full Member side, against New Zealand's 34.6, with batting 41.8 against 25.9.
- India are projected to make 197 if they bat first, against a par of 172; New Zealand are projected 167.
- Abhishek Sharma has 269 runs in his last 10 T20Is at a strike rate of 193.4, and Vaibhav Sooryavanshi has 250 in nine at 178.6.
Batting standout
Shreyas Iyer
280 runs in the last 10 T20Is. Career average 31.7, strike rate 141.
Bowling standout
Arshdeep Singh
13 wickets in the last 10 T20Is. Career economy 8.65.