Oddsworth

Western Province v Knights: Western Province won by 5 wickets

Western Province 169-5; our pre-match call 73%. Knights 168-7; our pre-match call 27%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 6

Western Province won by 5 wickets

Sunday 27 September 2026, 6:00pm SASTNewlands, Cape Town

Prediction locked in 27th September, 11:01 UTCWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 202 of 253

The sides

MeasureWestern ProvinceKnights
XI caps536T20s between the XI290T20s between the XI
Top-seven average26.2T20 batting16.0T20 batting

When Western Province bat

+0.13 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.50MiddleOvers 7–15−0.01DeathOvers 16–20−0.07

When Knights bat

−0.32 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.09MiddleOvers 7–15−0.56DeathOvers 16–20−0.39

Western Province bat first

First innings159
Knights short by37 runs
73%Western Province win
27%Knights win

Knights bat first

First innings148
Western Province chase in17.2 overs
73%Western Province win
27%Knights win

Western Province favoured by about 16 runs at Newlands

Western Province are favoured, with a 73% win chance. They are stronger on paper by about 16 runs, built on a batting edge of about 7 runs and a bowling edge of about 9. Their projected first-innings score is 159, against a par score of 164 and a recent league average of 160.

Knights project 148 batting first, and their batting unit is rated about 13 runs worse than average. Chasers have won 10 of the last 18 here, so the toss may matter. The sharpest angle is Western Province's bowling: George Linde is rated 1.7 runs better than an average bowler, and Nandre Burger 0.9 better.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%6 of 32
150–16958%11 of 19
170–18959%10 of 17
190–20986%6 of 7
210+100%2 of 2

The case for Western Province

  • Batting edge of about 7 runs, led by Josh van Heerden (rated 2.5 runs better than average) and George Linde (1.1 better).
  • Bowling edge of about 9 runs, with George Linde (1.7 better than average) and Nandre Burger (0.9 better) leading the attack.

Batting standout

Josh van Heerden

Josh van Heerden

355 runs, SR 152, 13 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.5 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.5 runs better than an average batter. He has 355 runs at a strike rate of 151.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 13 sixes, and also bowls.

Bowling standouts

George Linde

George Linde

12 wkts, econ 7.91 in the last 10. Rated +1.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.7 runs better than an average bowler and 1.1 better with the bat. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 7.91 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Nandre Burger

Nandre Burger

10 wkts, econ 10.18 in the last 10. Rated +0.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 0.9 runs better than an average bowler. He has 10 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, though his economy in that window is 10.18.

The case for Knights

  • Jacques Snyman is rated 1.1 runs better than an average batter and has 280 runs at a strike rate of 153.8 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Dane Piedt has been economical, conceding 6.07 runs per over in his last 10 T20 matches, and is rated only 0.2 runs worse than an average bowler.

Batting weakness

Gihahn Cloete

Gihahn Cloete

151 runs, SR 96, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.5 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.5 runs worse than an average batter. He has 151 runs at a strike rate of 96.2 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his form is 23 months old.

Bowling weaknesses

SF

Seth Fledermaus

2 wkts, econ 10.67 in the last 1. Rated −2.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.5 runs worse than an average bowler and 2.3 worse with the bat, on limited data. He has played one T20 match, 23 months ago.

Malusi Siboto

Malusi Siboto

15 wkts, econ 9.53 in the last 10. Rated −2.2 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.2 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 15 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches but an economy of 9.53, and his form is 23 months old.

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