Prenelan Subrayen
15 wkts, econ 7.45 in the last 10. Rated +1.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 15 wickets at an economy of 7.45.
The sides
| Measure | Dolphins | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 432T20s between the XI | 458T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 21.3T20 batting | 25.6T20 batting |
When Dolphins bat
−0.17 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.51MiddleOvers 7–15−0.19DeathOvers 16–20+0.26
When Warriors bat
−0.25 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.41MiddleOvers 7–15−0.21DeathOvers 16–20−0.12
Dolphins bat first
First innings168
Warriors short by30 runs
57%Dolphins win
43%Warriors win
Warriors bat first
First innings168
Dolphins chase in18 overs
58%Dolphins win
42%Warriors win
Dolphins favoured by 2.9 runs in a tight contest
Dolphins are favoured, with a win chance of 58% against Warriors' 42%. The edge is small: about 3 runs on paper, mostly from bowling. Dolphins are rated 2.2 runs better with the ball and 0.7 runs better with the bat, giving them a team strength of -13.8 runs versus average against Warriors' -16.7.
Both sides project to score 168 batting first, which is the par score here and has been defended about half the time. Recent games at Kingsmead have averaged 173, and teams batting first have won 14 of the last 19 here. The sharpest angle is Dolphins' bowling against a Warriors batting unit rated 9.9 runs worse than average.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15032%10 of 31
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20991%10 of 11
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Dolphins
- Bowling edge of 2.2 runs: Subrayen is rated 1.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
- Batting edge of 0.7 runs: Ackerman and Smith are both rated above average.
- Recent form at Kingsmead: teams batting first have won 14 of the last 19 here.
Bowling standout
The case for Warriors
- Breetzke is rated 0.7 runs better than an average batter and scored 194 runs in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Muthusamy is rated 1.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standout
Matthew Breetzke
194 runs, SR 128, 9 sixes in the last 10. Rated +0.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 0.7 runs better than an average batter. He scored 194 runs at a strike rate of 127.6 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling standout
Senuran Muthusamy
11 wkts, econ 7.31 in the last 10. Rated +1.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.5 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 11 wickets at an economy of 7.31.
Batting weakness
Matthew de Villiers
163 runs, SR 109, 2 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.5 runs worse than an average batter. He scored 163 runs at a strike rate of 108.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Patrick Kruger
9 wkts, econ 10.07 in the last 10. Rated −2.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.9 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 9 wickets at an economy of 10.07.