Oddsworth

Amsterdam Flames v Belfast Wolves: Wolves won by 7 wickets

Flames 133; our pre-match call 62%. Wolves 136-3; our pre-match call 38%.

ETPL|1, qualifier

Wolves won by 7 wickets

Saturday 19 September 2026, 2:15pm ISTThe Village, Malahide, DublinNeutral ground: the Flames are the designated home side

Prediction locked in 20th September, 08:01 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481

The sides

MeasureFlamesWolves
XI caps1,344T20s between the XI2,565T20s between the XI
Top-seven average28.5T20 batting25.3T20 batting

When Flames bat

+0.15 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.19MiddleOvers 7–15+0.26DeathOvers 16–20−0.08

When Wolves bat

−0.15 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.77MiddleOvers 7–15+0.10DeathOvers 16–20+0.14

Flames bat first

First innings176
Wolves short by33 runs
62%Flames win
38%Wolves win

Wolves bat first

First innings166
Flames chase in17.4 overs
63%Flames win
37%Wolves win

Amsterdam Flames favoured by about 11 runs at Malahide

Amsterdam Flames are favoured, with a win chance of 62 per cent and a team strength about 11 runs better than Belfast Wolves. The edge comes from both batting and bowling: Flames are 6.4 runs stronger with the bat and 4.6 with the ball. Their total of 13.4 runs above average is built on a batting group that is 9.4 runs better than average and a bowling unit 4 runs better.

Wolves sit at 2.4 runs above average, with their batting 3.1 runs better and their bowling 0.6 runs worse. The par score here is 169, and the projected first innings is 165, so this looks a touch under par. Chasing has been the sharper angle: chasers have won 7 of the last 11 here, and games here have produced a recent average of 162 from 12 innings.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15014%2 of 14
150–16933%1 of 3
170–18971%5 of 7
190–20950%1 of 2
210+100%4 of 4

The case for Flames

  • Team strength is 13.4 runs above average, with batting 9.4 runs better and bowling 4 runs better.
  • Tim David is rated 4.6 runs better than an average batter, with 265 runs at a strike rate of 166.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • David Payne is rated 3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 14 wickets at an economy of 7.85 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standouts

Tim David

Tim David

265 runs, SR 167, 21 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.6 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 4.6 runs better than an average batter. He has 265 runs at a strike rate of 166.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 21 sixes.

Yuvraaj Samra

YS Samra

295 runs, SR 164, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener. He has 295 runs at a strike rate of 163.9 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 16 sixes.

Bowling standouts

David Payne

David Payne

14 wkts, econ 7.85 in the last 10. Rated +3.0 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 14 wickets at an economy of 7.85 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Aryan Dutt

Aryan Dutt

9 wkts, econ 6.32 in the last 10. Rated +2.3 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 9 wickets at an economy of 6.32 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for Wolves

  • Mark Chapman is rated 2.4 runs better than an average batter, with 283 runs at a strike rate of 162.6 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Glenn Maxwell is rated 2.1 runs better than an average batter, with 221 runs at a strike rate of 167.4 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Chris Jordan is rated 0.5 runs better than an average bowler over three overs, with 9 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting weakness

Harry Manenti

Harry Manenti

241 runs, SR 114, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.5 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.5 runs worse than an average opener. He has 241 runs at a strike rate of 113.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Bowling weakness

Saurabh Netravalkar

Saurabh Netravalkar

12 wkts, econ 8.11 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.11 in his last 10 T20 matches.

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