Vipers 52%. MI Emirates 48%.
ILT20|5, match 1
Saturday 21 November 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai
| Measure | Vipers | MI Emirates |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,957T20s between the XI | 1,908T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 27.2T20 batting | 25.4T20 batting |
This is too close to call: Desert Vipers win 52% of the time and MI Emirates 48%. The Vipers are the stronger side on paper, about 5 runs clear, and the edge is all with the ball, where they are 10 runs better than MI Emirates. Their batting is 5.5 runs behind, so the game turns on whether that bowling gap holds.
MI Emirates' top seven average 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Mujeeb Ur Rahman, left-arm finger spin, is in our Vipers XI and rated 4.8 runs better than an average bowler, with 13 wickets and an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches.
403 runs, SR 154, 13 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.4 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.4 runs better than an average opener. He made 403 runs at a strike rate of 153.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 13 sixes, and has 943 runs in 44 innings at this ground.
13 wkts, econ 5.56 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler and 1.5 better with the bat. His last 10 T20 matches brought 13 wickets at an economy of 5.56 and 132 runs at a strike rate of 220.
13 wkts, econ 8.27 in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.8 runs better than an average bowler. He took 13 wickets at an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his left-arm finger spin is the standout matchup against MI Emirates' top order.
94 runs, SR 145, 7 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.6 runs better than an average batter, with 94 runs at a strike rate of 144.6 in his last 10 T20 matches. His bowling is the concern: 4 wickets at an economy of 12.61 in the same window.
271 runs, SR 166, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.9 runs better than an average batter. He made 271 runs at a strike rate of 166.3 with 17 sixes in his last 10 T20 matches, and has 323 runs in 17 innings at this ground.
6 wkts, econ 9.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over his expected two overs. He took 6 wickets at an economy of 9.84 in his last 10 T20 matches, the most recent of them in December 2025.