Oddsworth

Gulf Giants v MI Emirates: Giants 56% to win

Giants 56%. MI Emirates 44%.

ILT20|5, match 5

Tuesday 24 November 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai

Prediction locks 24th November, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureGiantsMI Emirates
XI caps2,425T20s between the XI1,908T20s between the XI
Top-seven average31.8T20 batting25.4T20 batting

When Giants bat

+0.60 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.50MiddleOvers 7–15+0.64DeathOvers 16–20+0.63

When MI Emirates bat

+0.63 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.86MiddleOvers 7–15+0.84DeathOvers 16–200.00

Giants bat first

First innings182
MI Emirates chase in17.5 overs
52%MI Emirates win
48%Giants win

MI Emirates bat first

First innings180
Giants chase in17.5 overs
63%Giants win
37%MI Emirates win

Gulf Giants favoured by 12 percentage points, despite MI Emirates' paper edge

Gulf Giants are favoured, with a 56% win chance against MI Emirates' 44%, even though MI Emirates are the stronger side on paper by about 2 runs. That edge comes entirely from bowling, where MI Emirates are rated 8.8 runs better than average, outweighing Gulf Giants' 6.5-run batting advantage. The projected first-innings totals are close: Gulf Giants 182, MI Emirates 180, against a par score of 163.

Gulf Giants' top order faces a stern test against Allah Ghazanfar, whose left-arm wrist spin has brought him 10 wickets at an economy of 7.65 in his last 10 T20 matches. His rating of 3.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs makes him the standout threat in the MI Emirates attack.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5

The case for Giants

  • Batting strength of 18.6 runs above average, led by Jos Buttler (4.3) and Heinrich Klaasen (4.1).
  • Projected first-innings score of 182, the higher of the two sides.

Batting standouts

Jos Buttler

Jos Buttler

400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.

Buttler has 400 runs at a strike rate of 178.6 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 4.3 runs better than an average batter.

Heinrich Klaasen

Heinrich Klaasen

295 runs, SR 165, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the bat.

Klaasen has 295 runs at a strike rate of 164.8 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 4.1 runs better than an average batter.

Bowling weakness

Shamar Joseph

Shamar Joseph

6 wkts, econ 11.85 in the last 10. Rated −1.9 runs a game with the ball.

Joseph has 6 wickets at an economy of 11.85 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 1.9 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.

The case for MI Emirates

  • Bowling strength of 3.8 runs above average, with Allah Ghazanfar (3.9) and Fazalhaq Farooqi (3.6) the standouts.
  • Overall team strength of 15.9 runs above average, about 2 runs better than Gulf Giants on paper.

Bowling standouts

Allah Ghazanfar

Allah Ghazanfar

10 wkts, econ 7.65 in the last 10. Rated +3.9 runs a game with the ball.

Ghazanfar has 10 wickets at an economy of 7.65 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 3.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Fazalhaq Farooqi

Fazalhaq Farooqi

12 wkts, econ 10.32 in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the ball.

Farooqi has 12 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 3.6 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Bowling weakness

Romario Shepherd

Romario Shepherd

4 wkts, econ 12.61 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.

Shepherd has 4 wickets at an economy of 12.61 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs.

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