Oddsworth

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders v Sharjah Warriorz: too close to call

Knight Riders 50%. Warriorz 50%.

ILT20|5, match 11

Sunday 29 November 2026, 2:00pm GMT+4Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Prediction locks 29th November, 09:30 UTC

The sides

MeasureKnight RidersWarriorz
XI caps2,301T20s between the XI2,656T20s between the XI
Top-seven average24.8T20 batting23.5T20 batting

When Knight Riders bat

+0.22 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.46MiddleOvers 7–15+0.22DeathOvers 16–20−0.05

When Warriorz bat

−0.57 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.94MiddleOvers 7–15−0.44DeathOvers 16–20−0.34

Knight Riders bat first

First innings165
Warriorz chase in18 overs
58%Warriorz win
42%Knight Riders win

Warriorz bat first

First innings159
Knight Riders chase in17.4 overs
58%Knight Riders win
42%Warriorz win

Too close to call, though Knight Riders are stronger on paper

This is too close to call, with the win chances split evenly. Abu Dhabi Knight Riders are the stronger side on paper by about 16 runs, built on both batting and bowling: their XI rates 7.7 runs better with the bat and 8.4 better with the ball than Sharjah Warriorz. The projected first-innings totals sit close together, 165 for the Knight Riders and 159 for the Warriorz, against a par score of 169.

Sharjah's top order is the softest part of either XI. Tanish Suri is rated 2.7 runs worse than an average batter and his last 10 T20 matches, which are 21 months old, brought 197 runs at a strike rate of 110.7, while the Warriorz's batting unit as a whole rates just 6 runs above average.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9

The case for Knight Riders

  • The stronger bowling unit, rated 20.8 runs above average against Sharjah's 12.4, with Narine and Tariq both rated more than 7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
  • The stronger batting unit too, rated 13.7 runs above average against Sharjah's 6, with Finn Allen the biggest batting impact in either XI.

Batting standout

Finn Allen

Finn Allen

185 runs, SR 134, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.3 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 6.3 runs better than an average opener, the biggest batting impact in either XI. His last 10 T20 matches brought 185 runs at a strike rate of 134.1, with 12 sixes.

Bowling standouts

Sunil Narine

Sunil Narine

12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.4 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87, and he made 182 runs at a strike rate of 162.5.

Usman Tariq

Usman Tariq

10 wkts, econ 6.05 in the last 10. Rated +7.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 7.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 10 wickets at an economy of 6.05.

The case for Warriorz

  • James Vince is in strong recent form: 395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 16 sixes.
  • A varied attack with four bowlers rated above average, led by Adil Rashid at 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Batting standout

James Vince

James Vince

395 runs, SR 152, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener. His last 10 T20 matches brought 395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9, with 16 sixes, the best recent batting numbers in either XI.

Bowling standout

Adil Rashid

Adil Rashid

13 wkts, econ 6.93 in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 13 wickets at an economy of 6.93.

Batting weakness

TS

Tanish Suri

197 runs, SR 111, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −2.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.7 runs worse than an average batter. His last 10 T20 matches, 21 months old, brought 197 runs at a strike rate of 110.7.

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