This is too close to call, with the win chances split evenly. Abu Dhabi Knight Riders are the stronger side on paper by about 16 runs, built on both batting and bowling: their XI rates 7.7 runs better with the bat and 8.4 better with the ball than Sharjah Warriorz. The projected first-innings totals sit close together, 165 for the Knight Riders and 159 for the Warriorz, against a par score of 169.
Sharjah's top order is the softest part of either XI. Tanish Suri is rated 2.7 runs worse than an average batter and his last 10 T20 matches, which are 21 months old, brought 197 runs at a strike rate of 110.7, while the Warriorz's batting unit as a whole rates just 6 runs above average.